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Recent electoral history | Fredericton North


2020 2024 Projection LIB 52% ± 7% 18.4% 51.1% PC 35% ± 7% 41.6% 34.1% GRN 11% ± 4% 31.2% 11.4% NDP 2% ± 1% 1.2% 1.5% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% PANB 0% ± 0% 7.6% 1.3%

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338Canada Fredericton North projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Fredericton North 45% 59% 52% ± 7% LIB 28% 42% 35% ± 7% PC 7% 15% 11% ± 4% GRN LIB 2024 51.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fredericton North 99% LIB 1% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Fredericton North

LIB 52% ± 7% PC 35% ± 7% GRN 11% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Fredericton North 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC GRN December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 LIB 52% PC 35% GRN 12% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 LIB 52% PC 35% GRN 11% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Fredericton North

LIB 99% PC 1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC NDP December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 LIB 99% PC 1% NDP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 LIB 99% PC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20