logo
New brunswick

Recent electoral history | Saint John Portland—Simonds


2020 2024 Projection LIB 53% ± 8% 28.6% 53.4% PC 37% ± 7% 54.8% 37.6% GRN 7% ± 3% 8.6% 6.6% NDP 3% ± 2% 2.7% 2.4%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


New Brunswick flag

338Canada Saint John Portland—Simonds projection

Latest update: August 14, 2026

Saint John Portland—Simonds 46% 61% 53% ± 8% LIB 30% 45% 37% ± 7% PC 4% 10% 7% ± 3% GRN LIB 2024 53.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint John Portland—Simonds 99%▲ LIB 1%▼ PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | August 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Saint John Portland—Simonds

Odds of winning | Saint John Portland—Simonds