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New brunswick


Saint John Harbour


MLA: Arlene Dunn (PC)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

Toss up LIB/PC/GRN
Saint John Harbour 29% ± 7% PC 24% ± 7% LIB 23% ± 7% GRN 22% ± 7% NDP 1% ± 1% PANB PC 2020 41.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Saint John Harbour 63% PC 15% LIB 12% GRN 9% NDP Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Saint John Harbour

LIB 24% ± 7% PC 29% ± 7% NDP 22% ± 7% GRN 23% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Saint John Harbour 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN

Odds of winning | Saint John Harbour

LIB 15% PC 63% NDP 9% GRN 12% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN

Recent electoral history | Saint John Harbour



2018 2020 Proj. PC 32.7% 41.4% 29% ± 7% GRN 12.7% 23.2% 23% ± 7% LIB 32.9% 22.9% 24% ± 7% NDP 14.7% 5.9% 22% ± 7% PANB 3.5% 3.5% 1% ± 1%