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338 Blog
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New brunswick
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All 49 electoral districts
Fredericton
St.John
Moncton
Acadia
Centre/Southwestern NB
Parties
PC
LIB
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Map
Polls New Brunswick
Saint John Harbour
MLA: Arlene Dunn (PC)
Latest projection: December 31, 2022
Toss up LIB/PC/GRN
Saint John Harbour
29% ± 7%
PC
24% ± 7%
LIB
23% ± 7%
GRN
22% ± 7%
NDP
1% ± 1%
PANB
PC 2020
41.4%
338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50%
100%
Saint John Harbour
63%
PC
15%
LIB
12%
GRN
9%
NDP
Odds of winning | December 31, 2022
Popular vote projection | Saint John Harbour
LIB 24% ± 7%
PC 29% ± 7%
NDP 22% ± 7%
GRN 23% ± 7%
Popular vote projection % | Saint John Harbour
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2021►
2021-01-01
2021-04-01
2021-07-01
2021-10-01
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-04-01
2022-07-01
2022-10-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-04-01
2023-07-01
LIB
PC
NDP
GRN
Odds of winning | Saint John Harbour
LIB 15%
PC 63%
NDP 9%
GRN 12%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2021►
2021-01-01
2021-04-01
2021-07-01
2021-10-01
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-04-01
2022-07-01
2022-10-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-04-01
2023-07-01
LIB
PC
NDP
GRN
Recent electoral history | Saint John Harbour
2018
2020
Proj.
PC
32.7%
41.4%
29% ± 7%
GRN
12.7%
23.2%
23% ± 7%
LIB
32.9%
22.9%
24% ± 7%
NDP
14.7%
5.9%
22% ± 7%
PANB
3.5%
3.5%
1% ± 1%