logo
New brunswick

Acadia, 16 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
12 1 0 0 13 14
1 0 0 0 1 2
0 0 0 0 0 0
Projected ahead Last election (2020)
13 14
1 2
0 0




Projection | the Acadia


Latest update: September 2, 2023
Acadia 65% ± 6% 18% ± 4% 16% ± 4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 2, 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Acadia, 16 districts 13 [13-13] 1 [1-1] 0 [0-0] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | September 2, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Acadia

LIB 65% ± 6% PC 18% ± 4% GRN 16% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Acadia 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 LIB PC GRN

Seat projection | Acadia

LIB 13 [13-13] PC 0 [0-0] GRN 1 [1-1] Seat projection | Acadia 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 LIB PC GRN

List of electoral districts


Latest update: September 2, 2023
Electoral district 2020 winner
(transposed results)
Latest projection
003 Bathurst LIB likely
005 Belle-Baie-Belledune LIB safe
006 Caraquet LIB safe
011 Edmundston—Vallée-des-Rivières LIB safe
018 Grand Falls—Saint-Quentin LIB safe
021 Hautes-Terre-Nepisiguit LIB safe
024 Madawaska-Les-Lacs—Edmundston LIB safe
034 Restigouche East LIB safe
035 Restigouche West LIB safe
043 Shediac Bay—Dieppe LIB safe
044 Shediac—Cap-Acadie LIB safe
045 Shippagan—Les-Îles LIB safe
047 Tantramar GRN safe
048 Tracadie LIB safe
Electoral district
003 Bathurst
005 Belle-Baie-Belledune
006 Caraquet
011 Edmundston—Vallée-des-Rivières
018 Grand Falls—Saint-Quentin
021 Hautes-Terre-Nepisiguit
024 Madawaska-Les-Lacs—Edmundston
034 Restigouche East
035 Restigouche West
043 Shediac Bay—Dieppe
044 Shediac—Cap-Acadie
045 Shippagan—Les-Îles
047 Tantramar
048 Tracadie