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New brunswick

Moncton Centre


Latest projection: March 9, 2024
LIB leaning
Moncton Centre 37% ± 8%▲ LIB 32% ± 7%▼ PC 24% ± 7%▼ GRN 5% ± 3%▲ NDP PC 2020 38.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Moncton Centre 74%▲ LIB 25%▼ PC 1%▼ GRN Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Moncton Centre

LIB 37% ± 8% PC 32% ± 7% NDP 5% ± 3% GRN 24% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Moncton Centre 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2024 LIB PC NDP GRN

Odds of winning | Moncton Centre

LIB 74% PC 25% GRN 1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2024 LIB PC GRN

Recent electoral history | Moncton Centre



2020 Proj. PC 38.0% 32% ± 7% LIB 30.1% 37% ± 8% GRN 22.0% 24% ± 7% PANB 6.4% 2% ± 2% NDP 3.4% 5% ± 3%
Note: Numbers on table above are the 2020 results transposed onto new electoral map.