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New brunswick

Fredericton, 7 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
2 2 0 1 5 5
0 0 1 1 2 1
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 1
Projected ahead Last election (2020)
5 5
2 1
0 0
0 1




Projection | Fredericton


Latest update: March 9, 2024
Fredericton 42% ± 7% 28% ± 6% 20% ± 4% 7% ± 2% 3% ± 1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Fredericton, 7 districts 5 [4-6] 2 [0-3] 0 [0-0] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | March 9, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Fredericton

LIB 20% ± 4% PC 42% ± 7% NDP 3% ± 1% GRN 28% ± 6% PANB 7% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Fredericton 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2024 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Seat projection | Fredericton

LIB 0 [0-0] PC 5 [4-6] GRN 2 [0-3] Seat projection | Fredericton 6 5 4 3 2 1 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2024 LIB PC GRN

List of electoral districts


Latest update: March 9, 2024
Electoral district 2020 winner
(transposed results)
Latest projection
012 Fredericton North Toss up PC/GRN
013 Fredericton South—Silverwood GRN leaning
014 Fredericton—Grand Lake PC likely
015 Fredericton—Lincoln Toss up PC/GRN
016 Fredericton—York PC likely
020 Hanwell—New Maryland PC safe
032 Oromocto—Sunbury PC safe
Electoral district
012 Fredericton North
013 Fredericton South—Silverwood
014 Fredericton—Grand Lake
015 Fredericton—Lincoln
016 Fredericton—York
020 Hanwell—New Maryland
032 Oromocto—Sunbury