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Recent electoral history | Saint John Harbour


2020 2024 Projection LIB 57% ± 7% 23.3% 56.9% PC 26% ± 6% 42.7% 26.0% GRN 12% ± 4% 21.5% 11.9% NDP 4% ± 2% 5.9% 3.8% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Saint John Harbour projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Saint John Harbour 49% 64% 57% ± 7% LIB 20% 33% 26% ± 6% PC 7% 16% 12% ± 4% GRN 2% 6% 4% ± 2% NDP LIB 2024 56.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint John Harbour >99% LIB <1% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Saint John Harbour

Odds of winning | Saint John Harbour