Saint John, 7 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2020) | |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projected ahead | Last election (2020) | |
8 | 7 | |
0 | 0 | |
0 | 0 | |
0 | 0 |
Projection | the Saint John
Latest update: March 9, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Saint John
Seat projection | Saint John
List of electoral districts
Latest update: March 9, 2024
Electoral district | 2020 winner (transposed results) |
Latest projection |
---|---|---|
017 Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville | PC safe | |
019 Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s | PC safe | |
033 Quispamsis | PC safe | |
037 Rothesay | PC safe | |
039 Saint John East | PC likely | |
040 Saint John Harbour | PC leaning | |
041 Saint John Portland—Simonds | PC likely | |
042 Saint John West—Lancaster | PC likely |