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New brunswick

Saint John, 7 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
4 3 1 0 8 7
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
Projected ahead Last election (2020)
8 7
0 0
0 0
0 0




Projection | the Saint John


Latest update: March 9, 2024
Saint John 53% ± 7% 25% ± 5% 13% ± 3% 6% ± 2% 3% ± 1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Saint John, 7 districts 8 [7-7] 0 [0-1] 0 [0-0] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | March 9, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Saint John

LIB 25% ± 5% PC 53% ± 7% NDP 6% ± 2% GRN 13% ± 3% PANB 3% ± 1% Popular vote projection % | Saint John 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2024 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Seat projection | Saint John

LIB 0 [0-1] PC 8 [7-7] Seat projection | Saint John 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2024 LIB PC

List of electoral districts


Latest update: March 9, 2024
Electoral district 2020 winner
(transposed results)
Latest projection
017 Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville PC safe
019 Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s PC safe
033 Quispamsis PC safe
037 Rothesay PC safe
039 Saint John East PC likely
040 Saint John Harbour PC leaning
041 Saint John Portland—Simonds PC likely
042 Saint John West—Lancaster PC likely
Electoral district
017 Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville
019 Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s
033 Quispamsis
037 Rothesay
039 Saint John East
040 Saint John Harbour
041 Saint John Portland—Simonds
042 Saint John West—Lancaster