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New brunswick

Saint Croix


Latest projection: March 9, 2024
PC safe
Saint Croix 50% ± 8%▲ PC 23% ± 6%▲ GRN 15% ± 5%▼ PANB 8% ± 3%▲ LIB 4% ± 2%▲ NDP PC 2020 44.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint Croix >99% PC <1% GRN <1% PANB Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Saint Croix

LIB 8% ± 3% PC 50% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 2% GRN 23% ± 6% PANB 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Saint Croix 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2024 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Odds of winning | Saint Croix

LIB <1% PC >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2024 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Saint Croix



2020 Proj. PC 44.8% 50% ± 8% PANB 32.3% 15% ± 5% GRN 15.9% 23% ± 6% LIB 5.1% 8% ± 3% NDP 1.9% 4% ± 2%
Note: Numbers on table above are the 2020 results transposed onto new electoral map.