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Recent electoral history | Saint Croix


2020 2024 Projection PC 47% ± 7% 44.8% 45.3% LIB 29% ± 6% 5.1% 28.6% GRN 20% ± 6% 15.9% 20.0% IND 2% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% NDP 1% ± 1% 1.9% 1.2% PANB 0% ± 0% 32.3% 1.4%

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338Canada Saint Croix projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Saint Croix 40% 54% 47% ± 7% PC 23% 36% 29% ± 6% LIB 14% 26% 20% ± 6% GRN PC 2024 45.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint Croix >99% PC <1% LIB <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Saint Croix

Odds of winning | Saint Croix