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Recent electoral history | Moncton South


2020 2024 Projection LIB 53% ± 7% 26.8% 53.2% PC 34% ± 7% 45.0% 33.3% GRN 13% ± 5% 18.4% 13.5%

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338Canada Moncton South projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Moncton South 46% 61% 53% ± 7% LIB 27% 41% 34% ± 7% PC 9% 18% 13% ± 5% GRN LIB 2024 53.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Moncton South >99% LIB <1% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Moncton South

Odds of winning | Moncton South