New Brunswick Liberal Association

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Leader	Susan Holt
Popular vote in 2024	48.2%
Current vote projection	48.5% ± 5.0%
Current number of MLA's	31
Current seat projection	30 ± 5

Vote projection | December 20, 2025

Seat projection | December 20, 2025

List of favourable electoral districts | New Brunswick Liberal Association

	Electoral districts	Current party	Projection
1.	Caraquet Isabelle Thériault	L	LIB safe
2.	Edmundston—Vallée-des-Rivières Jean Claude (JC) D’Amours	L	LIB safe
3.	Hautes-Terre-Nepisiguit Luc Robichaud	L	LIB safe
4.	Shippagan—Les-Îles Eric Mallet	L	LIB safe
5.	Shediac Bay—Dieppe Robert Gauvin	L	LIB safe
6.	Madawaska-Les-Lacs—Edmundston Francine Landry	L	LIB safe
7.	Dieppe—Memramcook Natacha Vautour	L	LIB safe
8.	Beausoleil—Grand-Bouctouche—Kent Benoît Bourque	L	LIB safe
9.	Restigouche West Gilles LePage	L	LIB safe
10.	Belle-Baie-Belledune Marco LeBlanc	L	LIB safe
11.	Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin Chuck Chiasson	L	LIB safe
12.	Moncton East Alexandre Cédric Doucet	L	LIB safe
13.	Saint John Harbour David Hickey	L	LIB safe
14.	Shediac—Cap-Acadie Jacques LeBlanc	L	LIB safe
15.	Fredericton South—Silverwood Susan Holt	L	LIB safe
16.	Moncton Centre Rob McKee	L	LIB safe
17.	Bathurst René Legacy	L	LIB likely
18.	Moncton South Claire Johnson	L	LIB likely
19.	Restigouche East Guy H. Arseneault	L	LIB likely
20.	Champdoré—Irishtown Lyne Chantal Boudreau	L	LIB likely
21.	Fredericton North Luke Randall	L	LIB likely
22.	Saint John Portland—Simonds John Dornan	L	LIB likely
23.	Miramichi Bay—Neguac Sam Johnston	L	LIB likely
24.	Tracadie Keith Chiasson	L	LIB likely
25.	Saint John West—Lancaster Kate Elman Wilcott	L	LIB likely
26.	Kent North Pat Finnigan	L	LIB leaning
27.	Rothesay Alyson Townsend	L	LIB leaning
28.	Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s John Herron	L	Toss up LIB/PC
29.	Moncton Northwest Tania Sodhi	L	Toss up LIB/PC
30.	Quispamsis Aaron Kennedy	L	Toss up LIB/PC
31.	Hanwell—New Maryland Cindy Miles	L	Toss up LIB/PC
32.	Saint John East Glen Savoie	PC	Toss up LIB/PC
33.	Riverview Rob Weir	PC	PC leaning
34.	Sussex—Three Rivers Tammy Scott-Wallace	PC	PC leaning
35.	Miramichi East Michelle Conroy	PC	PC likely
36.	Fredericton—York Ryan Cullins	PC	PC likely
37.	Kings Centre Bill Oliver	PC	PC likely
38.	Fredericton—Lincoln David Coon	G	GRN likely
39.	Saint Croix Kathy Brockus	PC	PC likely
40.	Oromocto—Sunbury Mary E. Wilson	PC	PC likely
41.	Woodstock—Hartland Bill Hogan	PC	PC safe
42.	Tantramar Megan Mitton	G	GRN safe
43.	Miramichi West Mike Dawson	PC	PC safe
44.	Albert—Riverview Sherry Wilson	PC	PC safe
45.	Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville Ian Lee	PC	PC safe
46.	Fredericton—Grand Lake Kris Austin	PC	PC safe

New Brunswick Liberal Association

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Vote projection | December 20, 2025

Seat projection | December 20, 2025

List of favourable electoral districts | New Brunswick Liberal Association