New Brunswick Liberal Association
Last update: December 31, 2022
| Leader | Susan Holt |
| Popular vote in 2020 | 34.4% |
| Current vote projection | 38.5% ± 4.7% |
| Current number of MP's | 16 |
| Current seat projection | 21 ± 6 |
Vote projection | December 31, 2022
Seat projection | December 31, 2022
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | New Brunswick Liberal Association
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 2. | Edmundston-Madawaska Centre | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 3. | Tracadie-Sheila | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 4. | Caraquet | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 5. | Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 6. | Victoria-La Vallée | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 7. | Campbellton-Dalhousie | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 8. | Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 9. | Restigouche West | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 10. | Bathurst West-Beresford | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 11. | Kent South | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 12. | Dieppe | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 13. | Shediac Bay-Dieppe | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 14. | Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 15. | Restigouche-Chaleur | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 16. | Moncton Centre | |
LIB likely | 98% |
| 17. | Carleton-Victoria |  |
LIB leaning | 87% |
| 18. | Moncton East | |
LIB leaning | 82% |
| 19. | Moncton South | |
LIB leaning | 76% |
| 20. | Moncton Northwest | |
Toss up LIB/PC | 50% |
| 21. | Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton | |
Toss up LIB/PC | 47% |
| 22. | Miramichi | |
Toss up LIB/PC | 43% |
| 23. | Miramichi Bay-Neguac | |
PC leaning | 29% |
| 24. | Memramcook-Tantramar |  |
GRN leaning | 29% |
| 25. | Portland-Simonds | |
PC leaning | 26% |
| 26. | Saint John Harbour | |
Toss up LIB/PC/GRN | 15% |
| 27. | Kent North | |
GRN leaning | 10% |
| 28. | Saint John East | |
PC leaning | 10% |
| 29. | Moncton Southwest | |
PC likely | 3% |
| 30. | Saint John Lancaster | |
PC likely | 3% |