New Brunswick Liberal Association
Last update: December 31, 2022
Leader | Susan Holt |
Popular vote in 2020 | 34.4% |
Current vote projection | 38.5% ± 4.7% |
Current number of MP's | 16 |
Current seat projection | 21 ± 6 |
Vote projection | December 31, 2022
Seat projection | December 31, 2022
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | New Brunswick Liberal Association
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | LIB safe | >99% | |
2. | Edmundston-Madawaska Centre | LIB safe | >99% | |
3. | Tracadie-Sheila | LIB safe | >99% | |
4. | Caraquet | LIB safe | >99% | |
5. | Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | LIB safe | >99% | |
6. | Victoria-La Vallée | LIB safe | >99% | |
7. | Campbellton-Dalhousie | LIB safe | >99% | |
8. | Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | LIB safe | >99% | |
9. | Restigouche West | LIB safe | >99% | |
10. | Bathurst West-Beresford | LIB safe | >99% | |
11. | Kent South | LIB safe | >99% | |
12. | Dieppe | LIB safe | >99% | |
13. | Shediac Bay-Dieppe | LIB safe | >99% | |
14. | Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé | LIB safe | >99% | |
15. | Restigouche-Chaleur | LIB safe | >99% | |
16. | Moncton Centre | LIB likely | 98% | |
17. | Carleton-Victoria | LIB leaning | 87% | |
18. | Moncton East | LIB leaning | 82% | |
19. | Moncton South | LIB leaning | 76% | |
20. | Moncton Northwest | Toss up LIB/PC | 50% | |
21. | Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton | Toss up LIB/PC | 47% | |
22. | Miramichi | Toss up LIB/PC | 43% | |
23. | Miramichi Bay-Neguac | PC leaning | 29% | |
24. | Memramcook-Tantramar | GRN leaning | 29% | |
25. | Portland-Simonds | PC leaning | 26% | |
26. | Saint John Harbour | Toss up LIB/PC/GRN | 15% | |
27. | Kent North | GRN leaning | 10% | |
28. | Saint John East | PC leaning | 10% | |
29. | Moncton Southwest | PC likely | 3% | |
30. | Saint John Lancaster | PC likely | 3% |