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Last update: December 13, 2020
| Leader | Roger Melanson |
| Popular vote in 2018 | 34.4% |
| Current vote projection | 31.8% ± 5.1% |
| Current number of MP's | 17 |
| Current seat projection | 17 ± 2 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Brunswick Liberal Association
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 2. | Edmundston-Madawaska Centre | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 3. | Caraquet | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 4. | Tracadie-Sheila | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 5. | Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 6. | Campbellton-Dalhousie | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 7. | Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 8. | Restigouche West | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 9. | Dieppe | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 10. | Victoria-La Vallée | |
LIB likely | >99% |
| 11. | Shediac Bay-Dieppe | |
LIB likely | 99% |
| 12. | Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé | |
LIB likely | 99% |
| 13. | Restigouche-Chaleur | |
LIB likely | 99% |
| 14. | Bathurst West-Beresford | |
LIB likely | 99% |
| 15. | Kent South | |
LIB likely | 99% |
| 16. | Miramichi Bay-Neguac | |
Toss up | 69% |
| 17. | Moncton Centre | |
Toss up | 68% |
| 18. | Carleton-Victoria |  |
PC likely | 10% |
| 19. | Memramcook-Tantramar |  |
GRN likely | 6% |
| 20. | Miramichi |  |
PANB likely | 3% |
| 21. | Moncton East | |
PC likely | 3% |
| 22. | Moncton South | |
PC likely | 1% |
| 23. | Kent North | |
GRN likely | 1% |
| Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | LIB safe |
| 2. | Edmundston-Madawaska Centre | LIB safe |
| 3. | Caraquet | LIB safe |
| 4. | Tracadie-Sheila | LIB safe |
| 5. | Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | LIB safe |
| 6. | Campbellton-Dalhousie | LIB safe |
| 7. | Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | LIB safe |
| 8. | Restigouche West | LIB safe |
| 9. | Dieppe | LIB safe |
| 10. | Victoria-La Vallée | LIB likely |
| 11. | Shediac Bay-Dieppe | LIB likely |
| 12. | Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé | LIB likely |
| 13. | Restigouche-Chaleur | LIB likely |
| 14. | Bathurst West-Beresford | LIB likely |
| 15. | Kent South | LIB likely |
| 16. | Miramichi Bay-Neguac | Toss up |
| 17. | Moncton Centre | Toss up |
| 18. | Carleton-Victoria | PC likely |
| 19. | Memramcook-Tantramar | GRN likely |
| 20. | Miramichi | PANB likely |
| 21. | Moncton East | PC likely |
| 22. | Moncton South | PC likely |
| 23. | Kent North | GRN likely |