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New brunswick

Moncton, 6 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
2 1 1 1 5 4
1 1 0 0 2 2
0 0 0 0 0 0
Projected ahead Last election (2020)
5 4
2 2
0 0




Projection | the Moncton


Latest update: September 2, 2023
Moncton 41% ± 6% 35% ± 6% 18% ± 4% 4% ± 1% 3% ± 1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 2, 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Moncton, 6 districts 5 [4-5] 2 [2-4] 0 [0-0] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | September 2, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Moncton

LIB 35% ± 6% PC 41% ± 6% NDP 3% ± 1% GRN 18% ± 4% PANB 4% ± 1% Popular vote projection % | Moncton 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Seat projection | Moncton

LIB 2 [2-4] PC 5 [4-5] Seat projection | Moncton 5 4 3 2 1 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 LIB PC

List of electoral districts


Latest update: September 2, 2023
Electoral district 2020 winner
(transposed results)
Latest projection
001 Albert—Riverview PC safe
010 Dieppe—Memramcook LIB safe
028 Moncton Centre Toss up LIB/PC
029 Moncton East LIB likely
030 Moncton Northwest PC leaning
031 Moncton South PC likely
036 Riverview PC safe
Electoral district
001 Albert—Riverview
010 Dieppe—Memramcook
028 Moncton Centre
029 Moncton East
030 Moncton Northwest
031 Moncton South
036 Riverview