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New brunswick

Moncton, 6 districts


Latest update: March 9, 2024
Moncton 39% ± 6% PC 37% ± 6% LIB 17% ± 4% GRN 4% ± 1% NDP 3% ± 1% PANB 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Moncton, 6 districts 4▼ [3-5] PC 3▲ [2-4] LIB 0 [0-0] GRN 0 [0-0] NDP 338Canada seat projection | March 9, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Moncton

LIB 37% ± 6% PC 39% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 1% GRN 17% ± 4% PANB 3% ± 1% Popular vote projection % | Moncton 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2024 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Seat projection | Moncton

LIB 3 [2-4] PC 4 [3-5] Seat projection | Moncton 5 4 3 2 1 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2024 LIB PC

Seat projection | Moncton


Latest update: March 9, 2024
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
2 0 1 1 4 4
1 1 1 0 3 2
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Moncton


Latest update: March 9, 2024
Electoral district 2020 winner
(transposed results)
Latest projection
001 Albert—Riverview PC safe
010 Dieppe—Memramcook LIB safe
028 Moncton Centre LIB leaning
029 Moncton East LIB likely
030 Moncton Northwest Toss up LIB/PC
031 Moncton South PC leaning
036 Riverview PC safe