logo
New brunswick

Recent electoral history | Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville


2020 2024 Projection PC 59% ± 7% 66.8% 59.0% LIB 30% ± 7% 9.7% 30.5% GRN 5% ± 2% 9.7% 5.1% IND 3% ± 2% 0.0% 0.0% NDP 2% ± 2% 3.8% 2.3%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


New Brunswick flag

338Canada Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville 52% 66% 59% ± 7% PC 24% 37% 30% ± 7% LIB 3% 7% 5% ± 2% GRN PC 2024 59.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville >99% PC <1% LIB <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville

Odds of winning | Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville