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Recent electoral history | Kings Centre


2020 2024 Projection PC 50% ± 7% 61.4% 49.9% LIB 33% ± 7% 12.2% 33.4% GRN 15% ± 5% 13.4% 14.8% IND 2% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Kings Centre projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Kings Centre 43% 57% 50% ± 7% PC 27% 40% 33% ± 7% LIB 10% 19% 15% ± 5% GRN PC 2024 49.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kings Centre 99% PC 1% LIB <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Kings Centre

LIB 33% ± 7% PC 50% ± 7% GRN 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Kings Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC GRN December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 PC 50% LIB 33% GRN 15% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 PC 50% LIB 33% GRN 15% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Kings Centre

LIB 1% PC 99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC NDP December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 PC 99% LIB 1% NDP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 PC 99% LIB 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20