Centre/Southwestern NB, 13 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2020) | |
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 |
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Projected ahead | Last election (2020) | |
|
8 | 11 |
|
4 | 1 |
|
1 | 0 |
|
0 | 1 |
Projection | the Centre/Southwestern NB
Latest update: September 2, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Centre/Southwestern NB
Seat projection | Centre/Southwestern NB
List of electoral districts
Latest update: September 2, 2023
Electoral district | 2020 winner (transposed results) |
Latest projection |
---|---|---|
002 Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills | PC safe | |
004 Beausoleil—Grand-Bouctouche—Kent | LIB safe | |
007 Carleton—Victoria | Toss up LIB/PC | |
008 Carleton—York | PC safe | |
009 Champdoré—Irishtown | LIB leaning | |
022 Kent North | Toss up LIB/GRN | |
023 Kings Centre | PC safe | |
025 Miramichi Bay—Neguac | LIB safe | |
026 Miramichi East | Toss up LIB/PC | |
027 Miramichi West | PC likely | |
038 Saint Croix | PC safe | |
046 Sussex—Three Rivers | PC safe | |
049 Woodstock—Hartland | PC safe |