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New brunswick

Centre/Southwestern NB, 13 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
6 1 0 1 8 11
2 0 1 1 4 1
0 0 0 1 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 1
Projected ahead Last election (2020)
8 11
4 1
1 0
0 1




Projection | the Centre/Southwestern NB


Latest update: September 2, 2023
Centre/Southwestern NB 43% ± 6% 31% ± 5% 14% ± 3% 10% ± 2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 2, 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Centre/Southwestern NB, 13 districts 8 [7-9] 4 [3-5] 1 [0-1] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | September 2, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Centre/Southwestern NB

LIB 31% ± 5% PC 43% ± 6% NDP 2% ± 1% GRN 14% ± 3% PANB 10% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Centre/Southwestern NB 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Seat projection | Centre/Southwestern NB

LIB 4 [3-5] PC 8 [7-9] GRN 1 [0-1] Seat projection | Centre/Southwestern NB 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 LIB PC GRN

List of electoral districts


Latest update: September 2, 2023
Electoral district 2020 winner
(transposed results)
Latest projection
002 Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills PC safe
004 Beausoleil—Grand-Bouctouche—Kent LIB safe
007 Carleton—Victoria Toss up LIB/PC
008 Carleton—York PC safe
009 Champdoré—Irishtown LIB leaning
022 Kent North Toss up LIB/GRN
023 Kings Centre PC safe
025 Miramichi Bay—Neguac LIB safe
026 Miramichi East Toss up LIB/PC
027 Miramichi West PC likely
038 Saint Croix PC safe
046 Sussex—Three Rivers PC safe
049 Woodstock—Hartland PC safe
Electoral district
002 Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills
004 Beausoleil—Grand-Bouctouche—Kent
007 Carleton—Victoria
008 Carleton—York
009 Champdoré—Irishtown
022 Kent North
023 Kings Centre
025 Miramichi Bay—Neguac
026 Miramichi East
027 Miramichi West
038 Saint Croix
046 Sussex—Three Rivers
049 Woodstock—Hartland