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New brunswick


Moncton Southwest


MLA: Sherry Wilson (PC)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

PC likely
Moncton Southwest 39% ± 8% PC 27% ± 7% LIB 15% ± 5% GRN 14% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 2% PANB PC 2020 52.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Moncton Southwest 97% PC 3% LIB Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Moncton Southwest

LIB 27% ± 7% PC 39% ± 8% NDP 14% ± 5% GRN 15% ± 5% PANB 5% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Moncton Southwest 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Odds of winning | Moncton Southwest

LIB 3% PC 97% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Moncton Southwest



2018 2020 Proj. PC 41.7% 52.1% 39% ± 8% LIB 38.1% 22.1% 27% ± 7% GRN 13.0% 13.1% 15% ± 5% PANB 9.5% 9.5% 5% ± 2% NDP 7.2% 3.2% 14% ± 5%