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Recent electoral history | Moncton Northwest


2020 2024 Projection LIB 46% ± 7% 31.9% 46.4% PC 44% ± 7% 48.3% 43.6% GRN 10% ± 4% 10.5% 9.9%

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338Canada Moncton Northwest projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Moncton Northwest 39% 54% 46% ± 7% LIB 37% 51% 44% ± 7% PC 6% 13% 10% ± 4% GRN LIB 2024 46.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Moncton Northwest 63%▼ LIB 37%▲ PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Moncton Northwest

Odds of winning | Moncton Northwest