338Canada.com - New Democratic Party






338Canada Projection for the New Democratic Party

Latest update: September 17th, 2019



Regional Popular Vote Projection






Regional Seat Projection






National Seat Projection





Ordered list of districts

(Percentages indicate the odds of winning the districts according to the 338Canada Projection of September 17th, 2019.)

#1 59035 Vancouver East Safe NDP>99%
#2 35107 Timmins–James Bay Leaning NDP89%
#3 59038 Vancouver Kingsway Leaning NDP78%
#4 59019 New Westminster–Burnaby Leaning NDP75%
#5 35116 Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up67%
#6 59028 Skeena–Bulkley Valley Toss up64%
#7 35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing Toss up63%
#8 24064 Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie Toss up60%
#9 59003 Burnaby South Toss up57%
#10 35035 Hamilton Centre Toss up56%
#11 48019 Edmonton Strathcona Toss up55%
#12 46003 Churchill–Keewatinook Aski Toss up46%
#13 35051 London–Fanshawe Toss up45%
#14 35117 Windsor West Toss up44%
#15 24039 Laurier–Sainte-Marie Toss up44%
#16 35026 Essex Toss up34%
#17 59010 Cowichan–Malahat–Langford Toss up25%
#18 59037 North Island–Powell River Leaning CPC24%
#19 35037 Hamilton Mountain Leaning LPC23%
#20 35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Leaning LPC22%
#21 35109 Toronto–Danforth Leaning LPC19%
#22 35042 Kenora Leaning LPC19%
#23 35069 Nickel Belt Leaning LPC18%
#24 35018 Davenport Leaning LPC17%
#25 59026 Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke Toss up17%
#26 59009 Courtenay–Alberni Leaning CPC15%
#27 59041 Victoria Leaning GPC10%
#28 35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River Likely LPC8%
#29 47003 Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Likely CPC7%
#30 35081 Parkdale–High Park Likely LPC6%