338Canada.com - New Democratic Party






338Canada Projection for the New Democratic Party

Latest update: March 17th 2019



Regional Popular Vote Projection







Regional Seat Projection







National Seat Projection






Ordered list of districts

(Pourcentages indicate the odds of winning the districts according to the 338Canada Projection of March 17th 2019.)

#1 35117 Windsor West Safe NDP>99%
#2 35035 Hamilton Centre Safe NDP>99%
#3 59035 Vancouver East Safe NDP>99%
#4 59038 Vancouver Kingsway Likely NDP>99%
#5 24064 Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie Likely NDP>99%
#6 35107 Timmins–James Bay Likely NDP>99%
#7 59028 Skeena–Bulkley Valley Likely NDP98%
#8 35116 Windsor–Tecumseh Likely NDP98%
#9 59019 New Westminster–Burnaby Likely NDP97%
#10 35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing Likely NDP97%
#11 59003 Burnaby South Likely NDP96%
#12 35051 London–Fanshawe Likely NDP89%
#13 59010 Cowichan–Malahat–Langford Likely NDP86%
#14 59037 North Island–Powell River Likely NDP85%
#15 35037 Hamilton Mountain Likely NDP85%
#16 48019 Edmonton Strathcona Likely NDP83%
#17 35081 Parkdale–High Park Likely NDP82%
#18 46003 Churchill–Keewatinook Aski Likely NDP81%
#19 35109 Toronto–Danforth Likely NDP81%
#20 35018 Davenport Leaning NDP78%
#21 35069 Nickel Belt Leaning NDP67%
#22 59009 Courtenay–Alberni Leaning NDP64%
#23 35075 Ottawa Centre Leaning NDP64%
#24 24039 Laurier–Sainte-Marie Leaning NDP64%
#25 35026 Essex Toss up59%
#26 35042 Kenora Toss up54%
#27 35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Toss up51%
#28 59029 South Okanagan–West Kootenay Toss up45%
#29 59026 Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke Toss up43%
#30 59018 Nanaimo–Ladysmith Toss up39%
#31 59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up36%
#32 35066 Niagara Centre Toss up32%
#33 24012 Berthier–Maskinongé Leaning BQ24%
#34 10006 St. John's East Leaning LPC20%
#35 35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River Likely LPC14%
#36 47012 Saskatoon West Likely CPC13%
#37 35120 York South–Weston Likely LPC12%