338Canada.com - New Democratic Party






338Canada Projection for the New Democratic Party

Latest update: July 14th 2019



Regional Popular Vote Projection







Regional Seat Projection







National Seat Projection






Ordered list of districts

(Percentages indicate the odds of winning the districts according to the 338Canada Projection of July 14th 2019.)

#1 35117 Windsor West Safe NDP>99%
#2 35116 Windsor–Tecumseh Likely NDP>99%
#3 59035 Vancouver East Likely NDP99%
#4 59038 Vancouver Kingsway Likely NDP98%
#5 35107 Timmins–James Bay Likely NDP98%
#6 59019 New Westminster–Burnaby Likely NDP97%
#7 59003 Burnaby South Likely NDP97%
#8 35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing Likely NDP97%
#9 59028 Skeena–Bulkley Valley Likely NDP96%
#10 35051 London–Fanshawe Likely NDP96%
#11 24064 Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie Likely NDP96%
#12 46003 Churchill–Keewatinook Aski Likely NDP93%
#13 35037 Hamilton Mountain Likely NDP90%
#14 35035 Hamilton Centre Likely NDP87%
#15 35026 Essex Likely NDP84%
#16 59037 North Island–Powell River Leaning NDP76%
#17 35042 Kenora Leaning NDP68%
#18 35069 Nickel Belt Leaning NDP67%
#19 48019 Edmonton Strathcona Leaning NDP63%
#20 35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Toss up55%
#21 35066 Niagara Centre Toss up51%
#22 24039 Laurier–Sainte-Marie Toss up51%
#23 35109 Toronto–Danforth Leaning LPC40%
#24 59010 Cowichan–Malahat–Langford Toss up39%
#25 35018 Davenport Leaning LPC38%
#26 59009 Courtenay–Alberni Toss up35%
#27 59029 South Okanagan–West Kootenay Leaning CPC34%
#28 59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam Leaning CPC28%
#29 35074 Oshawa Leaning CPC27%
#30 12008 Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook Leaning LPC27%
#31 24012 Berthier–Maskinongé Toss up23%
#32 35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River Likely LPC16%
#33 12005 Halifax Likely LPC15%
#34 35081 Parkdale–High Park Likely LPC15%
#35 10006 St. John's East Likely LPC11%
#36 47012 Saskatoon West Likely CPC8%
#37 59026 Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke Likely GPC7%
#38 59015 Kootenay–Columbia Likely CPC6%
#39 35075 Ottawa Centre Likely LPC5%
#40 24028 Hochelaga Toss up5%