338Canada.com - New Democratic Party






338Canada Projection for the New Democratic Party

Latest update: May 12th 2019



Regional Popular Vote Projection







Regional Seat Projection







National Seat Projection






Ordered list of districts

(Percentages indicate the odds of winning the districts according to the 338Canada Projection of May 12th 2019.)

#1 35117 Windsor West Safe NDP>99%
#2 59035 Vancouver East Safe NDP>99%
#3 35035 Hamilton Centre Safe NDP>99%
#4 35116 Windsor–Tecumseh Safe NDP>99%
#5 35107 Timmins–James Bay Safe NDP>99%
#6 59038 Vancouver Kingsway Safe NDP>99%
#7 59019 New Westminster–Burnaby Safe NDP>99%
#8 59003 Burnaby South Safe NDP>99%
#9 24064 Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie Safe NDP>99%
#10 35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing Safe NDP>99%
#11 59028 Skeena–Bulkley Valley Likely NDP99%
#12 35051 London–Fanshawe Likely NDP98%
#13 46003 Churchill–Keewatinook Aski Likely NDP98%
#14 35037 Hamilton Mountain Likely NDP97%
#15 35081 Parkdale–High Park Likely NDP94%
#16 35109 Toronto–Danforth Likely NDP94%
#17 48019 Edmonton Strathcona Likely NDP94%
#18 35018 Davenport Likely NDP93%
#19 35026 Essex Likely NDP88%
#20 59037 North Island–Powell River Likely NDP87%
#21 35069 Nickel Belt Likely NDP86%
#22 35075 Ottawa Centre Likely NDP83%
#23 35042 Kenora Likely NDP81%
#24 24039 Laurier–Sainte-Marie Leaning NDP78%
#25 35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Leaning NDP77%
#26 35066 Niagara Centre Leaning NDP67%
#27 13001 Acadie–Bathurst Toss up49%
#28 59029 South Okanagan–West Kootenay Toss up48%
#29 59009 Courtenay–Alberni Toss up47%
#30 59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up43%
#31 59010 Cowichan–Malahat–Langford Toss up40%
#32 24012 Berthier–Maskinongé Toss up38%
#33 35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River Leaning LPC34%
#34 35120 York South–Weston Leaning LPC32%
#35 12005 Halifax Leaning LPC29%
#36 12008 Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook Toss up25%
#37 35074 Oshawa Leaning CPC24%
#38 59041 Victoria Leaning GPC22%
#39 35007 Beaches–East York Leaning LPC21%
#40 35091 Sarnia–Lambton Likely CPC17%
#41 10006 St. John's East Likely LPC16%
#42 59002 Burnaby North–Seymour Leaning CPC14%
#43 59026 Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke Likely GPC13%
#44 35103 Sudbury Likely LPC13%
#45 24028 Hochelaga Toss up12%
#46 59015 Kootenay–Columbia Likely CPC12%
#47 59032 Surrey Centre Likely LPC10%
#48 24018 Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely LPC9%
#49 61001 Northwest Territories Leaning LPC8%
#50 59022 Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Likely CPC6%
#51 48015 Edmonton Griesbach Likely CPC6%
#52 24054 Outremont Likely LPC6%
#53 35110 University–Rosedale Likely LPC6%
#54 35101 Spadina–Fort York Likely LPC5%