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Recent electoral history | Halifax Needham


2017 2021 2024 Projection NDP 68% ± 7% 51.7% 59.0% 67.9% PC 14% ± 5% 14.3% 10.6% 17.1% LIB 13% ± 4% 28.1% 28.6% 13.4% GRN 3% ± 3% 5.9% 1.8% 1.7%

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338Canada Halifax Needham projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Halifax Needham 61% 75% 68% ± 7% NDP 9% 19% 14% ± 5% PC 8% 17% 13% ± 4% LIB NDP 2024 67.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax Needham >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Halifax Needham

LIB 13% ± 4% PC 14% ± 5% NDP 68% ± 7% GRN 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Halifax Needham 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP GRN February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 NDP 68% PC 17% LIB 12% GRN 2% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 NDP 68% PC 17% LIB 11% GRN 3% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 NDP 70% PC 16% LIB 11% GRN 3% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 NDP 68% PC 14% LIB 13% GRN 3% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Halifax Needham

LIB <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2026-02-18