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Nova scotia

Halifax Chebucto


MLA elect (unofficial): Krista Gallagher (NDP)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
NDP safe

Candidates | Halifax Chebucto


Progressive Conservative Tonya Malay
Liberal Party Gerard Bray
New Democratic Party Krista Gallagher
Green Party Jonathan Bradet-Legris

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Halifax Chebucto 54% ± 0%▼ NDP 23% ± 0%▲ PC 21% ± 0%▲ LIB NDP 2024 51.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax Chebucto >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Halifax Chebucto

LIB 21% ± 0% PC 23% ± 0% NDP 54% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Halifax Chebucto 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 NDP 58% LIB 22% PC 13% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 NDP 58% LIB 22% PC 13% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 NDP 60% LIB 20% PC 14% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 NDP 61% LIB 20% PC 14% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 NDP 61% LIB 20% PC 14% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 NDP 62% LIB 19% PC 15% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 NDP 54% PC 23% LIB 21% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Halifax Chebucto

LIB <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Halifax Chebucto



2017 2021 Proj. NDP 46.6% 51.4% 54% ± 0% LIB 38.2% 32.6% 21% ± 0% PC 10.9% 12.0% 23% ± 0% GRN 4.3% 4.1% 2% ± 0%