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Nova scotia

Timberlea-Prospect


MLA elect (unofficial): Iain Rankin (LIB)

Latest projection: November 20, 2024
LIB leaning

Candidates | Timberlea-Prospect


Progressive Conservative Trish MacDonald
Liberal Party Iain Rankin
New Democratic Party Rose Gillam
Green Party Jane Matheson

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Timberlea-Prospect 38% ± 6%▼ LIB 34% ± 6%▲ PC 23% ± 5%▲ NDP 5% ± 3% GRN LIB 2021 54.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Timberlea-Prospect 77%▼ LIB 23%▲ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Timberlea-Prospect

LIB 38% ± 6% PC 34% ± 6% NDP 23% ± 5% GRN 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Timberlea-Prospect 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP GRN November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 LIB 42% PC 31% NDP 21% GRN 5% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 LIB 42% PC 31% NDP 21% GRN 5% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 42% PC 31% NDP 21% GRN 5% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 LIB 40% PC 33% NDP 22% GRN 5% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 LIB 38% PC 34% NDP 23% GRN 5% 2024-11-20

Odds of winning | Timberlea-Prospect

LIB 77% PC 23% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 LIB 97% PC 3% NDP <1% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 LIB 97% PC 3% NDP <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 97% PC 3% NDP <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 LIB 91% PC 9% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 LIB 77% PC 23% NDP <1% 2024-11-20

Recent electoral history | Timberlea-Prospect



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 49.5% 54.4% 38% ± 6% PC 23.5% 24.3% 34% ± 6% NDP 21.7% 17.3% 23% ± 5% GRN 4.0% 2.6% 5% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.9% 0% ± 0%