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Recent electoral history | Dartmouth South


2017 2021 2024 Projection NDP 71% ± 7% 43.8% 58.1% 68.4% PC 19% ± 5% 14.2% 17.4% 22.5% LIB 8% ± 4% 34.3% 22.1% 9.1%

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338Canada Dartmouth South projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Dartmouth South 65% 78% 71% ± 7% NDP 13% 24% 19% ± 5% PC 4% 12% 8% ± 4% LIB NDP 2024 68.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dartmouth South >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Dartmouth South

LIB 8% ± 4% PC 19% ± 5% NDP 71% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Dartmouth South 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 NDP 69% PC 23% LIB 8% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 NDP 69% PC 23% LIB 7% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 NDP 70% PC 21% LIB 7% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 NDP 71% PC 19% LIB 8% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Dartmouth South

LIB <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2026-02-18