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Nova scotia

Dartmouth South


MLA elect (unofficial): Claudia Chender (NDP)

Latest projection: November 20, 2024
NDP safe

Candidates | Dartmouth South


Progressive Conservative Bea MacGregor
Liberal Party Barb Henderson
New Democratic Party Claudia Chender

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Dartmouth South 67% ± 6% NDP 19% ± 5%▼ PC 13% ± 4%▼ LIB NDP 2021 58.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dartmouth South >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Dartmouth South

LIB 13% ± 4% PC 19% ± 5% NDP 67% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Dartmouth South 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 NDP 64% PC 19% LIB 14% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 NDP 64% PC 19% LIB 14% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 NDP 63% PC 19% LIB 14% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 NDP 67% PC 20% LIB 14% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 NDP 67% PC 19% LIB 13% 2024-11-20

Odds of winning | Dartmouth South

LIB <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-20

Recent electoral history | Dartmouth South



2017 2021 Proj. NDP 43.8% 58.1% 67% ± 6% LIB 34.3% 22.1% 13% ± 4% PC 14.2% 17.4% 19% ± 5% GRN 6.3% 2.3% 0% ± 0%