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Recent electoral history | Halifax Citadel-Sable Island


2017 2021 2024 Projection NDP 56% ± 8% 28.6% 42.3% 52.7% PC 22% ± 5% 23.7% 17.8% 25.8% LIB 18% ± 5% 42.3% 36.8% 19.4% GRN 4% ± 3% 5.4% 3.1% 2.2%

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338Canada Halifax Citadel-Sable Island projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Halifax Citadel-Sable Island 48% 63% 56% ± 8% NDP 16% 27% 22% ± 5% PC 13% 23% 18% ± 5% LIB 1% 7% 4% ± 3% GRN NDP 2024 52.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax Citadel-Sable Island >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Nova Scotia Projection | Halifax Citadel-Sable Island

Odds of winning | Halifax Citadel-Sable Island