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Nova scotia


Halifax Citadel-Sable Island


MLA: Lisa Lachance (NDP)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

NDP safe
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island 51% ± 6% NDP 27% ± 5% LIB 18% ± 4% PC 4% ± 2% GRN NDP 2021 42.3% Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Halifax Citadel-Sable Island >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% PC Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Halifax Citadel-Sable Island

LIB 27% ± 5% PC 18% ± 4% NDP 51% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Halifax Citadel-Sable Island 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 Election 2021 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Halifax Citadel-Sable Island

LIB <1% PC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 Election 2021 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Halifax Citadel-Sable Island



2017 2021 Proj. NDP 28.6% 42.3% 51% ± 6% LIB 42.3% 36.8% 27% ± 5% PC 23.7% 17.8% 18% ± 4% GRN 5.4% 3.1% 4% ± 2%