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Nova scotia


Dartmouth North


MLA: Susan LeBlanc (NDP)


Latest projection: September 2, 2023

NDP safe
Dartmouth North 58% ± 6% 20% ± 4%▼ 19% ± 4% 3% ± 2%▲ NDP 2021 51.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 2, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Dartmouth North >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 2, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Dartmouth North

LIB 20% ± 4% PC 19% ± 4% NDP 58% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Dartmouth North 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Dartmouth North

LIB <1% PC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Dartmouth North



2017 2021 Proj. NDP 39.4% 51.0% 58% ± 6% LIB 34.7% 30.9% 20% ± 4% PC 19.7% 16.4% 19% ± 4% GRN 4.5% 1.7% 3% ± 2%