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Nova scotia

Dartmouth North


MLA elect (unofficial): Susan LeBlanc (NDP)

Latest projection: November 20, 2024
NDP safe

Candidates | Dartmouth North


Progressive Conservative Karina Sanford
Liberal Party Pam Cooley
New Democratic Party Susan Leblanc

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Dartmouth North 62% ± 6%▲ NDP 19% ± 5%▼ LIB 19% ± 5% PC NDP 2021 51.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dartmouth North >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% PC Odds of winning | November 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Dartmouth North

LIB 19% ± 5% PC 19% ± 5% NDP 62% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Dartmouth North 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 NDP 58% LIB 21% PC 18% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 NDP 58% LIB 21% PC 19% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 NDP 58% LIB 21% PC 18% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 NDP 61% LIB 20% PC 19% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 NDP 62% LIB 19% PC 19% 2024-11-20

Odds of winning | Dartmouth North

LIB <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2024-11-20

Recent electoral history | Dartmouth North



2017 2021 Proj. NDP 39.4% 51.0% 62% ± 6% LIB 34.7% 30.9% 19% ± 5% PC 19.7% 16.4% 19% ± 5% GRN 4.5% 1.7% 0% ± 0%