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About this Nanos Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Nanos Research from October 9, 2026 to October 30, 2026 (four-week rolling poll). The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,014 Canadian respondents via live telephone interviews.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

The regional breakdown of this poll was not made publicly available.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Nanos Research (October 2026), the Liberal Party loses two points from 47% to 45% (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▼2 LPC 29% ▲1 CPC 14% ▲1 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 2% GPC Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-10-30 338Canada.com
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259 LPC 57 CPC 15 NDP 11 BQ 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 65 11 2 ON 107 13 2 MB 6 5 3 SK 8 5 1 AB 23 12 2 BC 31 6 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Nanos Research federal poll October 30, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Nanos Research




Preferred PM 56% ▼2 Carney 22% ▲1 Poilievre 11% ▲1 Don't know 5% Lewis 3% Blanchet 2% May 2% Bernier Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-10-30 338Canada.com
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Nanos Research Preferred PM tracker 56% 22%2026-10-30 58% 21%2026-10-23 61% 21%2026-10-16 61% 21%2026-10-09 59% 20%2026-10-02 62% 20%2026-09-25 59% 21%2026-09-18 56% 21%2026-09-11 55% 21%2026-09-04 51% 21%2026-08-28 ◻︎Carney ◻︎Others ◻︎Don't know ◻︎Poilievre
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