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About this Nanos Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Nanos Research from October 2, 2026 to October 23, 2026 (four-week rolling poll). The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,019 Canadian respondents via live telephone interviews.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

The regional breakdown of this poll was not made publicly available.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Nanos Research (October 2026), the Liberal Party loses four points from 51% to 47%, the Conservative Party remains stable at 28%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 47% ▼4 LPC 28% CPC 13% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-10-23 338Canada.com
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260 LPC 57 CPC 14 NDP 11 BQ 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 65 11 2 ON 107 13 2 MB 6 5 3 SK 8 5 1 AB 23 12 2 BC 31 6 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Nanos Research federal poll October 23, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Nanos Research




Preferred PM 58% ▼3 Carney 21% Poilievre 10% ▲1 Don't know 5% ▲1 Lewis 3% ▲1 Blanchet 2% May 2% Bernier Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-10-23 338Canada.com
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Nanos Research Preferred PM tracker 58% 21%2026-10-23 61% 21%2026-10-16 61% 21%2026-10-09 59% 20%2026-10-02 62% 20%2026-09-25 59% 21%2026-09-18 56% 21%2026-09-11 55% 21%2026-09-04 51% 21%2026-08-28 50% 20%2026-08-21 ◻︎Carney ◻︎Others ◻︎Don't know ◻︎Poilievre
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