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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in October 2026, with a middle field date of October 25, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (October 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 14%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲1 LPC 30% ▼1 CPC 14% NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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235 LPC 69 CPC 20 BQ 17 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 49 20 8 1 ON 98 20 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 18 17 2 BC 26 8 8 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll October 25, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 56% ▲2 LPC 21% ▼3 CPC 15% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Quebec 44% ▲1 LPC 25% BQ 17% ▼1 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▲2 LPC 33% ▼2 CPC 14% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 42% ▲1 CPC 36% ▼1 LPC 19% ▲2 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Alberta 46% ▲3 CPC 39% ▼3 LPC 9% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 39% ▼1 LPC 29% ▼1 CPC 25% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 50% ▲1 LPC 25% ▼1 CPC 17% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲1 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 14% ▲1 NDP 5% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▲1 LPC 27% ▼1 CPC 22% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 4% ▲2 PPC 3% ▼2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 42% ▼1 LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 17% ▲1 NDP 3% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 56% ▲1 LPC 25% ▼2 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 8% BQ 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Government approval 64% ▼1 Approve 28% ▲1 Disapprove 8% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 64% 28%2026-10-25 65% 27%2026-10-18 64% 28%2026-10-11 64% 29%2026-10-04 66% 27%2026-09-27 64% 29%2026-09-20 65% 28%2026-09-13 66% 27%2026-09-06 66% 26%2026-08-30 64% 27%2026-08-23 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 53% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 33% ▼2 Positive / favourable 14% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 33% 53%2026-10-25 35% 52%2026-10-18 34% 53%2026-10-11 32% 55%2026-10-04 34% 53%2026-09-27 36% 51%2026-09-20 35% 51%2026-09-13 36% 51%2026-09-06 34% 54%2026-08-30 33% 55%2026-08-23 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 36% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure 36% ▲1 Positive / favourable 28% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-25 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 36% 28%2026-10-25 35% 28%2026-10-18 33% 28%2026-10-11 35% 27%2026-10-04 33% 28%2026-09-27 31% 30%2026-09-20 32% 30%2026-09-13 31% 30%2026-09-06 30% 31%2026-08-30 30% 31%2026-08-23 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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