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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in October 2026, with a middle field date of October 18, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (October 2026), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 14%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▼1 LPC 31% ▲1 CPC 14% NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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222 LPC 83 CPC 19 BQ 17 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 48 19 10 1 ON 84 34 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 19 16 2 BC 26 8 8 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll October 18, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▼3 LPC 24% ▲2 CPC 14% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼2 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Quebec 43% ▼2 LPC 25% BQ 18% ▲1 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▼2 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 13% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 41% ▼2 CPC 37% ▲1 LPC 17% ▲3 NDP 3% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Alberta 43% ▼1 CPC 42% ▲1 LPC 8% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 40% ▼1 LPC 30% ▲1 CPC 24% ▲1 NDP 4% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% ▼2 LPC 26% ▲1 CPC 16% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% ▼1 LPC 37% ▲1 CPC 13% ▲1 NDP 5% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 36% ▼1 LPC 28% ▲1 CPC 21% ▼1 NDP 7% BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 43% ▼1 LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 16% ▲1 NDP 3% BQ 1% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 44% ▼1 LPC 34% ▲1 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 55% ▼1 LPC 27% ▲1 CPC 8% BQ 8% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Government approval 65% ▲1 Approve 27% ▼1 Disapprove 8% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 65% 27%2026-10-18 64% 28%2026-10-11 64% 29%2026-10-04 66% 27%2026-09-27 64% 29%2026-09-20 65% 28%2026-09-13 66% 27%2026-09-06 66% 26%2026-08-30 64% 27%2026-08-23 59% 31%2026-08-16 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 52% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 35% ▲1 Positive / favourable 13% Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 35% 52%2026-10-18 34% 53%2026-10-11 32% 55%2026-10-04 34% 53%2026-09-27 36% 51%2026-09-20 35% 51%2026-09-13 36% 51%2026-09-06 34% 54%2026-08-30 33% 55%2026-08-23 34% 54%2026-08-16 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 37% ▼2 Neutral / Unsure 35% ▲2 Positive / favourable 28% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-18 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 35% 28%2026-10-18 33% 28%2026-10-11 35% 27%2026-10-04 33% 28%2026-09-27 31% 30%2026-09-20 32% 30%2026-09-13 31% 30%2026-09-06 30% 31%2026-08-30 30% 31%2026-08-23 31% 30%2026-08-16 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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