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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in October 2026, with a middle field date of October 11, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (October 2026), the Liberal Party remains stable at 45%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% LPC 30% ▲1 CPC 14% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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236 LPC 72 CPC 17 NDP 16 BQ 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 52 16 9 1 ON 94 24 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 18 17 2 BC 28 8 6 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll October 11, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 57% ▲1 LPC 22% ▲1 CPC 12% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲3 PPC 3% ▼2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Quebec 45% ▲1 LPC 25% BQ 17% ▲1 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▼1 LPC 34% ▲1 CPC 14% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 43% ▲3 CPC 36% ▼3 LPC 14% ▲2 NDP 4% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼3 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Alberta 44% ▼1 CPC 41% ▲3 LPC 9% ▼4 NDP 3% PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▼1 LPC 29% ▲1 CPC 23% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 51% ▲1 LPC 25% ▲1 CPC 15% ▼2 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▼1 LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 12% ▼2 NDP 5% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▲1 LPC 27% ▲1 CPC 22% ▼3 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 4% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 44% ▼1 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 15% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼1 BQ 1% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▲1 LPC 33% ▲1 CPC 11% ▼3 NDP 4% ▲1 BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 3% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 56% ▼1 LPC 26% ▲1 CPC 8% ▲1 BQ 7% ▼1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Government approval 64% Approve 28% ▼1 Disapprove 8% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 64% 28%2026-10-11 64% 29%2026-10-04 66% 27%2026-09-27 64% 29%2026-09-20 65% 28%2026-09-13 66% 27%2026-09-06 66% 26%2026-08-30 64% 27%2026-08-23 59% 31%2026-08-16 60% 31%2026-08-09 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 53% ▼2 Negative / unfavourable 34% ▲2 Positive / favourable 13% Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 34% 53%2026-10-11 32% 55%2026-10-04 34% 53%2026-09-27 36% 51%2026-09-20 35% 51%2026-09-13 36% 51%2026-09-06 34% 54%2026-08-30 33% 55%2026-08-23 34% 54%2026-08-16 35% 53%2026-08-09 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 39% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure 33% ▼2 Positive / favourable 28% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 33% 28%2026-10-11 35% 27%2026-10-04 33% 28%2026-09-27 31% 30%2026-09-20 32% 30%2026-09-13 31% 30%2026-09-06 30% 31%2026-08-30 30% 31%2026-08-23 31% 30%2026-08-16 31% 29%2026-08-09 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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