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About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in September 2026, with a middle field date of September 28, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,020 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (July 2026), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 45% to 47% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 17% to 15% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 47% ▲2 LPC 26% ▼1 CPC 15% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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272 LPC 45 CPC 14 NDP 11 BQ 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 56 11 10 1 ON 117 3 2 MB 8 4 2 SK 8 6 AB 19 16 2 BC 31 6 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll September 28, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 58% ▼1 LPC 21% ▼1 CPC 13% NDP 4% ▲2 PPC 3% ▲1 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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Quebec 44% ▲3 LPC 21% ▲1 BQ 18% ▼4 CPC 11% NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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Ontario 52% ▲4 LPC 25% CPC 18% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 41% ▲2 LPC 29% ▼9 CPC 18% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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Alberta 40% ▲6 LPC 40% ▼2 CPC 15% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% LPC 31% ▲4 CPC 16% ▼5 NDP 7% ▲1 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 53% ▲1 LPC 19% ▼2 CPC 18% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 4% GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▲6 LPC 34% CPC 12% ▼4 NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 3% PPC 2% ▼1 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 34% ▲4 NDP 32% ▲2 LPC 22% ▼6 CPC 7% ▲3 GPC 3% ▼1 BQ 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 38% ▲3 LPC 36% ▲6 CPC 15% ▼6 NDP 5% BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 53% LPC 28% CPC 8% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲2 BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 69% ▲6 LPC 19% ▼1 CPC 6% BQ 4% ▼3 NDP 1% ▼2 GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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Government approval 62% ▲1 Approve 31% ▼8 Disapprove 7% ▲7 Neutral/Unsure EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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EKOS Government approval tracker 62% 31%2026-09-28 61% 39%2026-01-19 29% 64%2024-04-20 38% 56%2023-03-08 40% 57%2022-01-13 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 64% ▼8 Negative / unfavourable 27% ▼1 Positive / favourable 9% ▲9 Neutral / Unsure EKOS federal poll | 2026-09-28 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 27% 64%2026-09-28 28% 72%2026-01-19 28% 64%2025-10-23 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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