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About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in July 2026, with a middle field date of July 28, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=3,195 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±1.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (April 2026), the Liberal Party remains stable at 45%, the Conservative Party loses four points from 31% to 27%, and the New Democratic Party climbs four points from 13% to 17%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% LPC 27% ▼4 CPC 17% ▲4 NDP 4% ▲2 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼4 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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253 LPC 56 CPC 17 NDP 15 BQ 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 50 15 11 2 ON 109 8 4 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 18 17 2 BC 31 6 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll July 28, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 59% ▲4 LPC 22% ▼12 CPC 13% ▲10 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▼5 LPC 22% ▲8 CPC 20% ▼6 BQ 11% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▼2 LPC 25% ▼6 CPC 19% ▲6 NDP 4% GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 39% ▼6 LPC 38% ▼3 CPC 17% ▲9 NDP 3% PPC 2% ▲1 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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Alberta 42% ▼14 CPC 34% ▲6 LPC 17% ▲9 NDP 3% PPC 2% GPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▲10 LPC 27% ▼6 CPC 21% ▼3 NDP 6% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 52% ▲3 LPC 21% ▼1 CPC 17% ▲3 NDP 5% ▼3 BQ 4% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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Male voters 37% ▼4 LPC 34% ▼6 CPC 16% ▲6 NDP 4% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 30% ▲2 LPC 30% ▲5 NDP 28% ▼5 CPC 4% ▼2 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 35% LPC 30% CPC 21% NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 4% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 53% LPC 28% CPC 10% NDP 3% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 63% LPC 20% CPC 7% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-07-28 338Canada.com
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