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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in August 2026, with a middle field date of August 27, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,001 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (April 2026), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 33%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


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Canada 44% ▼1 LPC 33% CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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218 LPC 79 CPC 30 BQ 14 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 38 30 9 1 ON 95 24 2 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 23 12 2 BC 31 6 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll August 27, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▲9 LPC 29% ▼1 CPC 8% ▼6 NDP 4% ▼4 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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Quebec 37% ▼5 LPC 33% ▲4 BQ 22% CPC 3% NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 1% ▲1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▼3 LPC 35% ▲3 CPC 11% ▲2 NDP 3% GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 42% ▼5 CPC 39% ▲5 LPC 10% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼3 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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Alberta 50% ▲2 CPC 34% ▼4 LPC 11% NDP 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 46% ▲6 LPC 31% ▼9 CPC 16% NDP 4% GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% LPC 29% ▼3 CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▼1 LPC 37% ▲2 CPC 8% BQ 6% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% ▲1 LPC 35% ▲7 CPC 14% ▼3 NDP 4% ▼2 PPC 3% ▼5 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 39% ▼2 LPC 37% CPC 10% ▲3 BQ 9% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 51% ▼2 LPC 29% ▼5 CPC 9% ▲2 BQ 8% ▲5 NDP 2% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-08-27 338Canada.com
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