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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in April 2026, with a middle field date of April 5, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (February 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses three points from 36% to 33% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼3 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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224 LPC 85 CPC 25 BQ 7 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 6 4 QC 43 25 9 1 ON 110 11 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 20 15 2 BC 20 19 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll April 5, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 45% ▼12 LPC 30% ▲3 CPC 14% ▲2 NDP 8% ▲5 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Quebec 42% ▼3 LPC 29% ▼2 BQ 22% ▲3 CPC 3% NDP 2% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Ontario 52% ▲6 LPC 32% ▼9 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲4 PPC 3% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 47% ▲3 CPC 34% ▲4 LPC 9% ▼3 NDP 5% ▲4 PPC 4% ▼9 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Alberta 48% ▼1 CPC 38% ▲2 LPC 11% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 40% ▼3 LPC 40% ▼3 CPC 16% ▲5 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% ▼3 LPC 32% ▲1 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Male voters 45% ▲3 LPC 35% ▼6 CPC 8% ▼1 BQ 7% ▲3 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 38% LPC 28% ▼13 CPC 17% ▲5 NDP 8% ▲3 BQ 6% ▲5 PPC 4% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 41% ▲2 LPC 37% CPC 10% NDP 7% BQ 3% ▼3 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 53% LPC 34% ▲2 CPC 7% ▼2 BQ 3% ▼1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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