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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in August 2026, with a middle field date of August 10, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,499 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (July 2026), the Liberal Party loses two points from 44% to 42% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party loses three points from 38% to 35%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▼2 LPC 35% ▼3 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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183 LPC 113 CPC 31 BQ 14 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 37 31 9 1 ON 81 37 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 12 2 AB 33 3 1 BC 24 12 6 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll August 10, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% ▲3 LPC 33% ▼12 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲7 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Quebec 37% ▼11 LPC 35% ▲7 BQ 18% ▼2 CPC 5% ▲3 GPC 4% ▲2 NDP 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▲1 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▼1 CPC 36% ▼2 LPC 15% ▲7 NDP 3% ▼1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Alberta 58% ▼2 CPC 30% ▲3 LPC 11% ▲2 NDP 1% ▼5 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▼1 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 14% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲3 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 42% ▼1 LPC 34% ▼3 CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 7% ▲2 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▼3 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 9% ▲2 BQ 8% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 35% ▼7 LPC 35% ▲3 CPC 19% ▲2 NDP 8% ▲3 GPC 2% PPC 1% ▼1 BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 35% ▼8 CPC 34% ▼3 LPC 15% ▲4 NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 5% ▲3 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 41% ▲1 LPC 37% ▼5 CPC 10% ▲2 BQ 7% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 51% ▼3 LPC 34% ▲2 CPC 9% ▲2 BQ 3% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Government approval 52% Approve 31% ▼1 Disapprove 17% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Abacus Data Government approval tracker 52% 31%2026-08-10 52% 32%2026-07-26 52% 32%2026-07-13 54% 31%2026-06-29 55% 30%2026-06-15 52% 31%2026-05-31 57% 28%2026-05-17 57% 28%2026-05-03 54% 29%2026-04-19 54% 30%2026-04-05 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 51% ▲2 Positive / favourable 31% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 18% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 51% 31%2026-08-10 49% 32%2026-07-26 50% 31%2026-07-13 50% 31%2026-06-29 51% 30%2026-06-15 51% 30%2026-05-31 56% 26%2026-05-17 54% 28%2026-05-03 51% 29%2026-04-19 51% 29%2026-04-05 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 46% ▲3 Negative / unfavourable 35% ▼2 Positive / favourable 19% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 35% 46%2026-08-10 37% 43%2026-07-26 37% 44%2026-07-13 38% 43%2026-06-29 38% 44%2026-06-15 37% 45%2026-05-31 38% 44%2026-05-17 35% 45%2026-05-03 37% 44%2026-04-19 37% 44%2026-04-05 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 58% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure 26% ▼2 Negative / unfavourable 16% Positive / favourable Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-10 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 16% 26%2026-08-10 16% 28%2026-07-26 16% 27%2026-07-13 17% 27%2026-06-29 18% 26%2026-06-15 17% 26%2026-05-31 17% 26%2026-05-17 18% 26%2026-05-03 15% 26%2026-04-19 17% 26%2026-04-05 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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