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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in July 2026, with a middle field date of July 19, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,526 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (July 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 35%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲1 LPC 35% CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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206 LPC 105 CPC 15 NDP 15 BQ 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 51 15 11 1 ON 84 35 2 1 MB 6 6 2 SK 13 1 AB 28 7 2 BC 28 7 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll July 19, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 51% ▲3 LPC 31% ▼1 CPC 9% ▼2 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Quebec 45% ▲1 LPC 23% ▼1 BQ 22% CPC 9% NDP 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▲1 LPC 38% CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▲1 CPC 31% ▲1 LPC 14% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Alberta 52% ▲2 CPC 31% LPC 12% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼1 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▲2 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 21% ▼1 NDP 1% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 48% ▲1 LPC 30% CPC 13% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 2% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲1 LPC 41% CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▲3 LPC 28% ▼2 CPC 22% ▼2 NDP 7% BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 40% ▼2 LPC 40% ▲1 CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 1% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 44% ▲1 LPC 40% ▲1 CPC 9% NDP 4% ▼2 BQ 1% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 53% ▼1 LPC 32% CPC 5% ▲1 BQ 3% ▼2 NDP 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Government approval 56% ▼1 Approve 35% Disapprove 9% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 56% 35%2026-07-19 57% 35%2026-07-12 56% 36%2026-07-05 58% 35%2026-06-27 58% 36%2026-06-20 57% 36%2026-06-13 57% 37%2026-06-06 55% 39%2026-05-30 57% 38%2026-05-23 59% 35%2026-05-17 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 51% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 36% Positive / favourable 13% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 51%2026-07-19 36% 50%2026-07-12 39% 48%2026-07-05 37% 50%2026-06-27 37% 50%2026-06-20 39% 47%2026-06-13 37% 49%2026-06-06 37% 51%2026-05-30 39% 51%2026-05-23 38% 52%2026-05-17 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 44% Neutral / Unsure 29% ▲1 Positive / favourable 27% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-19 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 29% 27%2026-07-19 28% 28%2026-07-12 28% 27%2026-07-05 28% 27%2026-06-27 28% 26%2026-06-20 28% 25%2026-06-13 26% 23%2026-06-06 25% 21%2026-05-30 26% 21%2026-05-23 25% 21%2026-05-17 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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