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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in July 2026, with a middle field date of July 12, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,526 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (July 2026), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 41% to 43% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 35%, and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 14% to 12% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▲2 LPC 35% CPC 12% ▼2 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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197 LPC 112 CPC 16 NDP 16 BQ 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 50 16 11 1 ON 79 39 3 1 MB 6 6 2 SK 13 1 AB 28 7 2 BC 25 10 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll July 12, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% ▲1 LPC 32% CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Quebec 44% ▲2 LPC 24% ▼1 BQ 22% CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▲2 LPC 38% CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% ▲1 CPC 30% ▼1 LPC 15% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Alberta 50% ▼1 CPC 31% ▲1 LPC 13% NDP 4% ▲1 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▲4 LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 22% ▼1 NDP 1% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% ▲2 LPC 30% CPC 14% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 2% ▲1 PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% CPC 40% ▲2 LPC 11% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 34% ▲1 LPC 30% ▼2 CPC 24% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 42% ▲1 LPC 39% CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 1% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 43% ▲2 LPC 39% CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 2% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 54% ▼3 LPC 32% ▲2 CPC 5% ▼3 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Government approval 57% ▲1 Approve 35% ▼1 Disapprove 8% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 57% 35%2026-07-12 56% 36%2026-07-05 58% 35%2026-06-27 58% 36%2026-06-20 57% 36%2026-06-13 57% 37%2026-06-06 55% 39%2026-05-30 57% 38%2026-05-23 59% 35%2026-05-17 56% 36%2026-05-10 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 50% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 36% ▼3 Positive / favourable 14% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 50%2026-07-12 39% 48%2026-07-05 37% 50%2026-06-27 37% 50%2026-06-20 39% 47%2026-06-13 37% 49%2026-06-06 37% 51%2026-05-30 39% 51%2026-05-23 38% 52%2026-05-17 36% 51%2026-05-10 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 44% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure 28% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 28% Positive / favourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-12 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 28% 28%2026-07-12 28% 27%2026-07-05 28% 27%2026-06-27 28% 26%2026-06-20 28% 25%2026-06-13 26% 23%2026-06-06 25% 21%2026-05-30 26% 21%2026-05-23 25% 21%2026-05-17 28% 23%2026-05-10 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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