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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 31, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,910 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (May 2026), the Liberal Party loses three points from 47% to 44%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party climbs three points from 8% to 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▼3 LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 11% ▲3 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 50% ▼6 LPC 41% ▲7 CPC 8% ▲3 NDP 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Quebec 47% ▲1 LPC 25% ▼2 BQ 20% ▼1 CPC 4% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▼5 LPC 37% ▲1 CPC 12% ▲4 NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 47% ▼4 CPC 34% ▼1 LPC 16% ▲7 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Alberta 57% ▲1 CPC 33% ▲3 LPC 9% ▼3 NDP 1% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▼8 LPC 36% ▲2 CPC 15% ▲4 NDP 5% ▲3 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% ▼3 LPC 32% ▼3 CPC 15% ▲6 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▼4 LPC 40% ▲4 CPC 6% BQ 6% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 39% ▼7 LPC 37% ▲2 CPC 16% ▲5 NDP 6% ▲2 GPC 1% BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 39% ▼2 CPC 38% ▲2 LPC 15% ▲5 NDP 4% ▼5 BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 41% ▼5 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 10% ▲4 NDP 8% ▲4 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 57% LPC 31% ▲2 CPC 8% BQ 4% NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Government approval 52% ▼5 Approve 31% ▲3 Disapprove 17% ▲2 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Abacus Data Government approval tracker 52% 31%2026-05-31 57% 28%2026-05-17 57% 28%2026-05-03 54% 29%2026-04-19 54% 30%2026-04-05 54% 30%2026-03-22 56% 28%2026-03-08 52% 29%2026-02-08 54% 31%2026-01-25 47% 34%2026-01-12 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 51% ▼5 Positive / favourable 30% ▲4 Negative / unfavourable 19% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 51% 30%2026-05-31 56% 26%2026-05-17 54% 28%2026-05-03 51% 29%2026-04-19 51% 29%2026-04-05 51% 30%2026-03-22 53% 28%2026-03-08 50% 30%2026-02-21 51% 29%2026-02-08 53% 30%2026-01-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 45% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 37% ▼1 Positive / favourable 18% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 37% 45%2026-05-31 38% 44%2026-05-17 35% 45%2026-05-03 37% 44%2026-04-19 37% 44%2026-04-05 39% 43%2026-03-22 36% 44%2026-03-08 37% 44%2026-02-21 36% 43%2026-02-08 38% 44%2026-01-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 57% Neutral / Unsure 26% Negative / unfavourable 17% Positive / favourable Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-31 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 17% 26%2026-05-31 17% 26%2026-05-17 18% 26%2026-05-03 15% 26%2026-04-19 17% 26%2026-04-05 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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