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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 17, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,920 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (May 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 47% ▲1 LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 8% NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 56% ▼6 LPC 34% ▲4 CPC 5% ▼3 NDP 4% ▲4 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
Quebec 51% ▲31 CPC 46% ▼2 LPC 27% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
Ontario 51% ▲1 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 51% ▼1 CPC 35% ▲1 LPC 9% ▲1 NDP 3% PPC 1% ▼2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
Alberta 56% CPC 30% ▲1 LPC 12% ▲4 NDP 1% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
British Columbia 51% ▲4 LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 11% ▼3 NDP 2% ▼3 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▼1 LPC 35% ▲3 CPC 9% NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
Male voters 48% ▲3 LPC 36% ▼3 CPC 6% BQ 6% NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 46% ▲1 LPC 35% CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 4% GPC 2% PPC 1% ▼1 BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 41% ▲2 CPC 36% ▼4 LPC 10% ▼2 NDP 9% ▲4 BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 46% ▲2 LPC 39% ▲1 CPC 6% NDP 4% ▼2 BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
60+ years old 57% ▲3 LPC 29% ▼3 CPC 8% ▼1 BQ 4% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com



Government approval 57% Approve 28% Disapprove 15% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 57% 28%2026-05-17 57% 28%2026-05-03 54% 29%2026-04-19 54% 30%2026-04-05 54% 30%2026-03-22 56% 28%2026-03-08 52% 29%2026-02-08 54% 31%2026-01-25 47% 34%2026-01-12 47% 35%2025-12-07 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 56% ▲2 Positive / favourable 26% ▼2 Negative / unfavourable 18% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 56% 26%2026-05-17 54% 28%2026-05-03 51% 29%2026-04-19 51% 29%2026-04-05 51% 30%2026-03-22 53% 28%2026-03-08 50% 30%2026-02-21 51% 29%2026-02-08 53% 30%2026-01-25 46% 33%2026-01-12 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 44% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 38% ▲3 Positive / favourable 18% ▼2 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 38% 44%2026-05-17 35% 45%2026-05-03 37% 44%2026-04-19 37% 44%2026-04-05 39% 43%2026-03-22 36% 44%2026-03-08 37% 44%2026-02-21 36% 43%2026-02-08 38% 44%2026-01-25 35% 48%2026-01-14 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 57% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure 26% Negative / unfavourable 17% ▼1 Positive / favourable Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 17% 26%2026-05-17 18% 26%2026-05-03 15% 26%2026-04-19 17% 26%2026-04-05 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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