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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 3, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,478 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (April 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 36%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 46% ▲1 LPC 36% CPC 8% NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 62% ▲4 LPC 30% ▼3 CPC 8% NDP Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
Quebec 48% ▲5 LPC 26% ▼4 BQ 20% ▲1 CPC 2% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
Ontario 50% LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% ▲5 CPC 34% ▼6 LPC 8% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
Alberta 56% ▼4 CPC 29% ▲3 LPC 8% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
British Columbia 47% ▼1 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 14% ▲2 NDP 5% ▲3 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% LPC 32% ▼2 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 6% ▲2 BQ 3% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
Male voters 45% ▲1 LPC 39% ▲2 CPC 6% ▼3 BQ 6% NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 45% ▲3 LPC 35% ▲7 CPC 12% ▼3 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼4 BQ 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 40% ▲3 LPC 39% ▼4 CPC 12% ▲3 NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 44% LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 6% ▲1 BQ 6% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
60+ years old 54% LPC 32% CPC 9% ▲1 BQ 3% NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com



Government approval 57% ▲3 Approve 28% ▼1 Disapprove 15% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 57% 28%2026-05-03 54% 29%2026-04-19 54% 30%2026-04-05 54% 30%2026-03-22 56% 28%2026-03-08 52% 29%2026-02-08 54% 31%2026-01-25 47% 34%2026-01-12 47% 35%2025-12-07 47% 33%2025-11-30 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 54% ▲3 Positive / favourable 28% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 18% ▼2 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 54% 28%2026-05-03 51% 29%2026-04-19 51% 29%2026-04-05 51% 30%2026-03-22 53% 28%2026-03-08 50% 30%2026-02-21 51% 29%2026-02-08 53% 30%2026-01-25 46% 33%2026-01-12 45% 35%2025-12-07 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 45% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 35% ▼2 Positive / favourable 20% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 35% 45%2026-05-03 37% 44%2026-04-19 37% 44%2026-04-05 39% 43%2026-03-22 36% 44%2026-03-08 37% 44%2026-02-21 36% 43%2026-02-08 38% 44%2026-01-25 35% 48%2026-01-14 35% 48%2026-01-12 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 56% ▼3 Neutral / Unsure 26% Negative / unfavourable 18% ▲3 Positive / favourable Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 18% 26%2026-05-03 15% 26%2026-04-19 17% 26%2026-04-05 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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