logo
Canada

About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 10, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,526 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (May 2026), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▼1 LPC 34% ▲1 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

212 LPC 94 CPC 24 BQ 11 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 41 24 12 1 ON 89 30 2 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 11 3 AB 18 17 2 BC 22 17 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll May 10, 2026 🍁
✓ Copied!
Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 55% ▲3 LPC 26% ▲2 CPC 18% NDP 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Quebec 35% ▼1 LPC 26% ▲1 CPC 25% BQ 10% ▲1 NDP 1% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Ontario 49% ▼2 LPC 36% ▲2 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% ▲2 CPC 34% LPC 12% NDP 4% ▼1 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Alberta 39% ▼1 CPC 36% ▼1 LPC 10% NDP 5% ▲1 PPC 4% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
British Columbia 42% ▼3 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 15% ▲2 NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% LPC 34% ▲2 CPC 10% NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Male voters 41% ▼3 LPC 36% ▲2 CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 44% ▼2 LPC 33% ▲1 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
35-49 years old 41% ▼2 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 12% NDP 5% BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

50-64 years old 44% ▼1 LPC 35% ▲2 CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
65+ years old 41% ▼1 LPC 35% ▲2 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!



Government approval 56% ▼2 Approve 36% ▲2 Disapprove 8% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 56% 36%2026-05-10 58% 34%2026-05-03 60% 32%2026-04-26 62% 31%2026-04-19 62% 29%2026-04-12 60% 29%2026-04-05 61% 32%2026-03-29 63% 32%2026-03-22 64% 32%2026-03-15 63% 33%2026-03-08 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
✓ Copied!


Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 51% Negative / unfavourable 36% Positive / favourable 13% Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 51%2026-05-10 36% 51%2026-05-03 39% 52%2026-04-26 37% 53%2026-04-19 36% 53%2026-04-12 37% 51%2026-04-05 38% 50%2026-03-29 38% 52%2026-03-22 38% 53%2026-03-15 38% 52%2026-03-08 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
✓ Copied!

Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 49% ▼2 Neutral / Unsure 28% ▲1 Positive / favourable 23% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-10 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 28% 23%2026-05-10 27% 22%2026-05-03 25% 21%2026-04-26 25% 21%2026-04-19 23% 21%2026-04-12 24% 20%2026-04-05 23% 18%2026-03-29 22% 17%2026-03-22 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
✓ Copied!



Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#1080