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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 3, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,526 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (April 2026), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 33%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▼1 LPC 33% CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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236 LPC 73 CPC 24 BQ 8 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 42 24 11 1 ON 102 17 2 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 10 4 AB 18 17 2 BC 30 11 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll May 3, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 52% ▲2 LPC 24% ▼8 CPC 18% ▲6 NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Quebec 36% ▼6 LPC 25% ▲2 CPC 25% ▼1 BQ 9% ▲2 NDP 2% ▲1 PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Ontario 51% ▲1 LPC 34% ▲2 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 43% ▼2 CPC 34% ▼1 LPC 12% ▲4 NDP 5% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Alberta 40% ▼8 CPC 37% ▲4 LPC 10% ▲2 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 4% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▼2 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 13% ▲4 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% ▼4 LPC 32% ▲2 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▲3 LPC 34% ▼3 CPC 11% ▲2 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 46% ▲5 LPC 32% ▼3 CPC 10% NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 43% ▼9 LPC 34% ▲5 CPC 12% ▲4 NDP 5% BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▲5 LPC 33% ▼4 CPC 11% NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 42% ▼5 LPC 33% ▲1 CPC 10% ▲3 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Government approval 58% ▼2 Approve 34% ▲2 Disapprove 8% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 58% 34%2026-05-03 60% 32%2026-04-26 62% 31%2026-04-19 62% 29%2026-04-12 60% 29%2026-04-05 61% 32%2026-03-29 63% 32%2026-03-22 64% 32%2026-03-15 63% 33%2026-03-08 64% 31%2026-03-01 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 51% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 36% ▼3 Positive / favourable 13% ▲4 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 51%2026-05-03 39% 52%2026-04-26 37% 53%2026-04-19 36% 53%2026-04-12 37% 51%2026-04-05 38% 50%2026-03-29 38% 52%2026-03-22 38% 53%2026-03-15 38% 52%2026-03-08 36% 54%2026-03-01 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 51% ▼3 Neutral / Unsure 27% ▲2 Positive / favourable 22% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-03 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 27% 22%2026-05-03 25% 21%2026-04-26 25% 21%2026-04-19 23% 21%2026-04-12 24% 20%2026-04-05 23% 18%2026-03-29 22% 17%2026-03-22 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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