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About this Research Co. federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Research Co. in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 7, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,003 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Research Co. (February 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 46% ▲1 LPC 31% ▼1 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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244 LPC 69 CPC 21 BQ 8 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 6 4 QC 46 21 10 1 ON 117 3 2 MB 8 4 2 SK 8 6 AB 23 12 2 BC 27 14 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Research Co. federal poll May 7, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Research Co.




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 51% ▼3 LPC 37% CPC 9% ▲6 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Quebec 44% ▲1 LPC 27% ▼2 BQ 21% ▲4 CPC 3% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Ontario 54% ▲8 LPC 28% ▼10 CPC 12% ▲4 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 44% ▲2 LPC 32% ▼6 CPC 19% ▲4 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Alberta 46% ▲2 CPC 30% ▼4 LPC 11% ▼7 NDP 5% ▲4 PPC 4% ▲1 GPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▼2 LPC 37% ▲4 CPC 13% ▼2 NDP 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% LPC 32% ▲1 CPC 12% NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 4% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Male voters 47% ▲3 LPC 30% ▼4 CPC 9% BQ 9% ▲2 NDP 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 38% ▼3 LPC 28% ▼3 CPC 19% ▲5 NDP 7% ▲3 GPC 5% BQ 1% ▼2 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 42% ▲2 LPC 39% ▲5 CPC 9% ▼3 NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 2% ▼2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 55% ▲4 LPC 28% ▼4 CPC 10% ▲3 BQ 4% ▼2 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Preferred PM 45% ▲1 Carney 26% ▲1 Poilievre 16% ▼3 Don't know 4% Lewis 4% May 4% ▲1 Blanchet 2% Bernier Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Research Co. Preferred PM tracker 45% 26%2026-05-07 44% 25%2026-02-05 44% 31%2025-09-11 47% 31%2025-07-01 ◻︎Carney ◻︎Others ◻︎Don't know ◻︎Poilievre
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Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 56% ▲1 Positive / favourable 36% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 8% Neutral / Unsure Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 56% 36%2026-05-07 55% 37%2026-02-05 56% 37%2025-09-11 61% 32%2025-07-01 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 51% Negative / unfavourable 38% ▼1 Positive / favourable 11% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 38% 51%2026-05-07 39% 51%2026-02-05 47% 45%2025-09-11 44% 48%2025-07-01 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 41% ▲5 Negative / unfavourable 31% ▲3 Positive / favourable 28% ▼8 Neutral / Unsure Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 31% 41%2026-05-07 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Elizabeth May 40% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 32% Positive / favourable 28% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Elizabeth May 32% 40%2026-05-07 32% 39%2026-02-05 33% 42%2025-09-11 34% 42%2025-07-01 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Yves-François Blanchet 46% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 41% ▼4 Positive / favourable 13% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure Research Co. federal poll | 2026-05-07 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Yves-François Blanchet 41% 46%2026-05-07 45% 44%2026-02-05 44% 44%2025-09-11 44% 43%2025-07-01 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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