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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in April 2026, with a middle field date of April 19, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,000 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (April 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses two points from 38% to 36% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲1 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 8% NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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208 LPC 105 CPC 25 BQ 3 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 43 25 9 1 ON 85 36 1 MB 8 6 SK 9 5 AB 34 2 1 BC 34 7 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll April 19, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 58% ▲13 LPC 33% ▼3 CPC 8% ▲2 NDP 1% ▼10 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Quebec 43% ▼1 LPC 30% ▲3 BQ 19% ▼5 CPC 4% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Ontario 50% ▲1 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 47% ▼6 CPC 40% ▲12 LPC 10% ▼5 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Alberta 60% ▲4 CPC 26% ▼7 LPC 10% ▼1 NDP 1% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 48% ▲1 LPC 34% CPC 12% ▼2 NDP 4% ▲3 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% ▲4 LPC 34% ▼3 CPC 10% NDP 4% ▼2 BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▼1 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 9% ▲3 BQ 6% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 42% ▼2 LPC 28% ▼3 CPC 15% ▼1 NDP 6% ▲4 BQ 5% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 43% ▼2 CPC 37% ▲5 LPC 9% ▼3 NDP 7% ▲2 BQ 2% ▼2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 44% ▼1 LPC 39% ▼1 CPC 8% ▲2 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 54% ▲2 LPC 32% ▼3 CPC 8% BQ 3% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Government approval 54% Approve 29% ▼1 Disapprove 17% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Abacus Data Government approval tracker 54% 29%2026-04-19 54% 30%2026-04-05 54% 30%2026-03-22 56% 28%2026-03-08 52% 29%2026-02-08 54% 31%2026-01-25 47% 34%2026-01-12 47% 35%2025-12-07 47% 33%2025-11-30 48% 32%2025-11-24 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 51% Positive / favourable 29% Negative / unfavourable 20% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 51% 29%2026-04-19 51% 29%2026-04-05 51% 30%2026-03-22 53% 28%2026-03-08 50% 30%2026-02-21 51% 29%2026-02-08 53% 30%2026-01-25 46% 33%2026-01-12 45% 35%2025-12-07 45% 31%2025-11-24 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 44% Negative / unfavourable 37% Positive / favourable 19% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 37% 44%2026-04-19 37% 44%2026-04-05 39% 43%2026-03-22 36% 44%2026-03-08 37% 44%2026-02-21 36% 43%2026-02-08 38% 44%2026-01-25 35% 48%2026-01-14 35% 48%2026-01-12 39% 43%2025-12-07 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 59% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure 26% Negative / unfavourable 15% ▼2 Positive / favourable Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-19 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 15% 26%2026-04-19 17% 26%2026-04-05 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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