logo
Canada

About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in March 2026, with a middle field date of March 22, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,515 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (March 2026), the Liberal Party loses two points from 46% to 44% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 35% to 37% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 7% to 9% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▼2 LPC 37% ▲2 CPC 9% ▲2 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 61% ▲9 LPC 30% ▼8 CPC 6% ▼1 NDP Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com
Quebec 41% ▼4 LPC 28% ▼3 BQ 22% ▲4 CPC 4% ▲2 NDP 3% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com
Ontario 47% ▼4 LPC 40% ▲4 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 53% ▲7 CPC 36% ▲1 LPC 6% ▼6 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com
Alberta 58% ▼1 CPC 25% ▼7 LPC 12% ▲6 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com
British Columbia 47% ▲2 LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 13% ▲3 NDP 4% ▼3 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 42% ▼5 LPC 35% ▲5 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 4% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com
Male voters 45% LPC 40% ▼1 CPC 6% BQ 6% ▲2 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 43% ▼4 LPC 37% ▲7 CPC 12% ▲2 NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 2% ▼2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 40% ▲3 CPC 35% ▼5 LPC 14% ▲4 NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 46% ▲4 CPC 37% ▼6 LPC 7% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com
60+ years old 57% ▲4 LPC 29% ▼3 CPC 8% BQ 3% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com



Government approval 54% ▼2 Approve 30% ▲2 Disapprove 16% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 54% 30%2026-03-22 56% 28%2026-03-08 52% 29%2026-02-08 54% 31%2026-01-25 47% 34%2026-01-12 47% 35%2025-12-07 47% 33%2025-11-30 48% 32%2025-11-24 44% 34%2025-11-06 47% 34%2025-10-27 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 51% ▼2 Positive / favourable 30% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 19% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 51% 30%2026-03-22 53% 28%2026-03-08 50% 30%2026-02-21 51% 29%2026-02-08 53% 30%2026-01-25 46% 33%2026-01-12 45% 35%2025-12-07 45% 31%2025-11-24 45% 33%2025-11-06 46% 32%2025-10-27 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 44% Negative / unfavourable 36% Positive / favourable 20% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-22 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 44%2026-03-22 36% 44%2026-03-08 37% 44%2026-02-21 36% 43%2026-02-08 38% 44%2026-01-25 35% 48%2026-01-14 35% 48%2026-01-12 39% 43%2025-12-07 39% 42%2025-11-24 37% 44%2025-11-06 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#1049