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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in March 2026, with a middle field date of March 8, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,931 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (February 2026), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 44% to 46% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party loses three points from 38% to 35%, and the Bloc Québécois is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 46% ▲2 LPC 35% ▼3 CPC 7% ▲1 BQ 7% NDP 3% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 52% ▼2 LPC 38% ▲3 CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Quebec 45% ▲2 LPC 31% ▲3 BQ 18% ▼4 CPC 3% GPC 2% ▼1 NDP Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Ontario 51% ▲3 LPC 36% ▼3 CPC 8% NDP 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▼4 CPC 35% ▼3 LPC 12% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲3 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Alberta 59% ▲2 CPC 32% LPC 6% ▼1 NDP 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
British Columbia 45% ▲1 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 10% NDP 7% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% ▲1 LPC 30% ▼5 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Male voters 45% ▲2 LPC 41% ▲1 CPC 6% BQ 4% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 47% ▲6 LPC 30% ▼11 CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 7% ▲3 BQ 4% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 40% LPC 37% ▼4 CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 7% ▲2 BQ 5% ▲2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 43% ▲3 LPC 42% CPC 6% ▼1 BQ 6% ▼3 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
60+ years old 53% LPC 32% ▲3 CPC 8% BQ 4% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com



Government approval 56% ▲4 Approve 28% ▼1 Disapprove 16% ▼3 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 56% 28%2026-03-08 52% 29%2026-02-08 54% 31%2026-01-25 47% 34%2026-01-12 47% 35%2025-12-07 47% 33%2025-11-30 48% 32%2025-11-24 44% 34%2025-11-06 47% 34%2025-10-27 48% 32%2025-10-12 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 53% ▲3 Positive / favourable 28% ▼2 Negative / unfavourable 19% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 53% 28%2026-03-08 50% 30%2026-02-21 51% 29%2026-02-08 53% 30%2026-01-25 46% 33%2026-01-12 45% 35%2025-12-07 45% 31%2025-11-24 45% 33%2025-11-06 46% 32%2025-10-27 46% 31%2025-10-12 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 44% Negative / unfavourable 36% ▼1 Positive / favourable 20% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-03-08 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 44%2026-03-08 37% 44%2026-02-21 36% 43%2026-02-08 38% 44%2026-01-25 35% 48%2026-01-14 35% 48%2026-01-12 39% 43%2025-12-07 39% 42%2025-11-24 37% 44%2025-11-06 39% 42%2025-10-27 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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