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About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in March 2026, with a middle field date of March 11, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,047 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (January 2026), the Liberal Party climbs four points from 44% to 48%, the Conservative Party loses three points from 30% to 27% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 48% ▲4 LPC 27% ▼3 CPC 15% ▲1 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 4% ▼1 BQ 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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274 LPC 50 CPC 11 NDP 6 BQ 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 69 6 2 1 ON 101 17 3 1 MB 8 4 2 SK 8 6 AB 21 14 2 BC 35 5 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll March 11, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 65% ▲1 LPC 23% CPC 7% ▼4 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Quebec 49% ▲9 LPC 19% ▼5 BQ 14% ▲4 NDP 11% ▼8 CPC 6% ▲3 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▼4 LPC 31% ▲2 CPC 16% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% ▲8 LPC 36% ▼8 CPC 19% ▲8 NDP 1% ▼3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Alberta 41% ▲7 LPC 37% ▼8 CPC 17% ▲3 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▲9 LPC 30% ▼2 CPC 14% ▼6 NDP 9% GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 53% ▲4 LPC 20% ▼5 CPC 18% ▲1 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 4% ▼1 BQ 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▲2 LPC 35% CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▲5 LPC 27% NDP 22% ▼7 CPC 8% ▲2 GPC 5% ▲1 BQ 1% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 39% LPC 30% CPC 20% NDP 4% GPC 3% BQ 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 51% LPC 34% CPC 6% NDP 4% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 64% ▲27 LPC 21% ▼10 CPC 8% ▼6 NDP 4% ▼3 BQ 3% ▼2 GPC 1% ▼3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2026-03-11 338Canada.com
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