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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 26, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,294 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (April 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 43%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 9% to 7% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% LPC 39% ▲1 CPC 7% ▼2 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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192 LPC 119 CPC 27 BQ 3 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 39 27 11 1 ON 85 36 1 MB 9 4 1 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 31 11 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll April 26, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 57% ▲5 LPC 34% ▼5 CPC 8% ▲3 NDP 1% ▼2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▲2 LPC 28% ▲4 BQ 22% ▼7 CPC 5% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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Ontario 51% ▲3 LPC 40% ▲4 CPC 6% ▼4 NDP 2% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 62% ▲12 CPC 27% ▼1 LPC 10% ▼2 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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Alberta 66% ▲8 CPC 21% ▼11 LPC 8% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% LPC 34% ▼3 CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼3 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 50% ▲2 LPC 35% ▲3 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▼1 CPC 36% ▼2 LPC 7% ▲1 BQ 7% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% ▼3 CPC 32% ▼3 LPC 10% ▲7 BQ 10% NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 43% ▲4 LPC 38% ▼2 CPC 8% BQ 8% NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 46% ▼1 LPC 43% ▲4 CPC 5% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼2 BQ 1% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 53% ▲3 LPC 35% ▲6 CPC 5% BQ 5% ▼8 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-26 338Canada.com
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