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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 31, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 44%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 6%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% LPC 39% ▲1 CPC 6% NDP 5% BQ 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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210 LPC 119 CPC 10 BQ 3 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 52 15 10 1 ON 81 40 1 MB 8 5 1 SK 12 2 AB 22 14 1 BC 22 21 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 31, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 59% LPC 32% ▼3 CPC 4% NDP 4% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Quebec 43% ▲2 LPC 27% ▼1 CPC 21% BQ 4% NDP 3% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▼2 LPC 40% CPC 6% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼1 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 47% ▼2 CPC 35% ▲4 LPC 9% ▼1 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Alberta 51% ▲1 CPC 37% ▲3 LPC 5% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼3 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▲3 CPC 41% ▼3 LPC 9% ▼1 NDP 4% PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% LPC 35% CPC 6% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% CPC 40% LPC 6% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 4% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% CPC 40% ▼1 LPC 7% NDP 4% BQ 2% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 42% LPC 39% ▲1 CPC 5% ▼1 BQ 5% NDP 4% PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 47% ▲2 LPC 37% CPC 6% BQ 5% NDP 2% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 48% ▼2 LPC 35% CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲1 BQ 4% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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