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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 30, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 38%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲1 LPC 38% CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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209 LPC 119 CPC 11 BQ 3 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 49 17 11 1 ON 83 38 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 23 13 1 BC 25 18 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 30, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 59% ▲8 LPC 35% ▲2 CPC 4% ▼6 NDP 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▲1 LPC 28% ▲1 CPC 21% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼2 NDP 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▲1 LPC 40% CPC 5% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲1 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 49% CPC 31% ▼2 LPC 10% NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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Alberta 50% CPC 34% ▲1 LPC 5% NDP 5% ▼2 PPC 3% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▼1 LPC 39% ▼1 CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 4% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% ▲1 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 5% BQ 5% ▼2 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% CPC 40% LPC 7% NDP 5% BQ 4% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% CPC 41% LPC 7% NDP 4% BQ 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 42% LPC 38% CPC 6% BQ 5% NDP 4% PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▲1 LPC 37% ▲1 CPC 6% ▼1 BQ 5% ▼1 NDP 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 50% ▲3 LPC 35% CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 4% PPC 3% ▼1 BQ 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-30 338Canada.com
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