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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 24, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 42%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 7%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 7% NDP 6% BQ 3% ▼1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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200 LPC 116 CPC 24 BQ 2 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 40 24 13 1 ON 81 40 1 MB 7 7 SK 13 1 AB 24 12 1 BC 25 18 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 24, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 59% ▼1 LPC 29% ▲1 CPC 6% NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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Quebec 37% ▼1 LPC 26% ▲3 CPC 26% ▼2 BQ 6% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% LPC 39% CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% ▲1 CPC 32% ▼1 LPC 8% NDP 4% PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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Alberta 53% CPC 34% ▲1 LPC 6% NDP 4% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▲5 LPC 37% CPC 10% ▼3 NDP 5% ▼1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% LPC 34% ▲1 CPC 8% NDP 7% BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲1 LPC 41% ▲1 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 5% BQ 4% PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▲1 LPC 42% ▲1 CPC 6% NDP 5% BQ 3% ▼1 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 37% ▲1 LPC 37% ▲1 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 9% BQ 4% GPC 4% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▲1 LPC 34% ▲1 CPC 7% BQ 7% NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 47% LPC 37% ▲1 CPC 6% NDP 3% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-24 338Canada.com
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