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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 23, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2025), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 40% to 42% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 9% to 7% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▲2 LPC 37% ▲1 CPC 7% ▼2 NDP 6% BQ 4% ▲2 PPC 3% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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196 LPC 119 CPC 24 BQ 3 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 40 24 13 1 ON 81 40 1 MB 7 7 SK 13 1 AB 25 11 1 BC 22 20 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 23, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 60% ▲2 LPC 28% ▲2 CPC 6% NDP 2% ▼3 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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Quebec 38% ▲2 LPC 28% BQ 23% CPC 4% ▼1 NDP 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▲2 LPC 39% CPC 7% ▼2 NDP 4% ▲1 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 51% CPC 33% ▲2 LPC 8% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲2 PPC 3% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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Alberta 53% CPC 33% ▲3 LPC 6% ▼1 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 39% LPC 37% CPC 13% ▼2 NDP 6% ▲2 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% ▲2 LPC 33% ▲2 CPC 8% ▼2 NDP 7% BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% ▲2 LPC 40% ▼2 CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▲2 LPC 41% ▼2 CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 36% ▲2 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 9% BQ 9% ▼1 NDP 4% ▼2 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 44% ▲1 LPC 33% ▲3 CPC 7% BQ 7% ▼3 NDP 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 47% ▲2 LPC 36% CPC 6% ▼2 NDP 4% BQ 4% ▲1 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-23 338Canada.com
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