About this poll

This federal poll was fielded by Mainstreet Research in January 2025, with a middle field date of January 26, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=936 Canadian respondents via text message to online survey.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

This poll was conducted entirely in Ontario.

If we compare these Ontario numbers with the previous poll from Mainstreet Research (January 2025), the Liberal Party loses three points from 43% to 40% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 39%, and the New Democratic Party climbs three points from 9% to 12% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.