About this poll

This federal poll was fielded by Mainstreet Research in January 2025, with a middle field date of January 26, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=936 Canadian respondents via text message to online survey.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

This poll was conducted entirely in Ontario.

If we compare these Ontario numbers with the previous poll from Mainstreet Research (April 2024), the Liberal Party climbs eleven points from 29% to 40%, the Conservative Party loses eight points from 47% to 39%, and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 14% to 12% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

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